Author Archives: Kent Sterling

Butler wins thriller! Colts looking at Matt Ryan? IU 5:30p tonight at NW! Breakfast with Kent!

Colts kicking the tires on Matt Ryan? Pacers Justin Holiday says he’s happy for Bill Bayno!

Colts vs. Bears in this offseason’s quarterback derby should be as much fun as Super Bowl XLI

Will Chris Ballard be smiling when the deal gets done to bring the next starting quarterback to Indianapolis?

Bidding against short-timers is a fool’s errand, so the Colts versus Bears in a duel to trade for a starting quarterback is a rigged game.

This isn’t news to Colts general manager Chris Ballard and his staff, but as fans try to decide the best path forward as their favorite team searches again for a starting quarterback after Philip Rivers retirement, it might help recalibrate expectations.

The reality is that the Bears will get who they target because both GM Ryan Pace and coach Matt Nagy are future former employees who who be fired next offseason if they don’t find the right answer for the position that has been so elusive for generations in the Windy City.

Jay Cutler is the longest tenured starter in Bears history going back to Sid Luckman, if you need a salient example of how poorly they have chosen quarterbacks.

Because of their tenuous status, neither Pace nor Nagy will be terribly concerned about offering first rounders in 2022 and 2023 in exchange for a QB with a chance to win at a higher level in 2021 than Mitch Trubisky or Nick Foles.  The Colts will be conversely cautious in mortgaging future draft equity.

This is a bit like bidding against Colts owner Jim Irsay for rock ‘n’ roll memorabilia.  If Irsay wants the guitar David Gilmour played while recording Dark Side of the Moon, you are out of luck.  Irsay is just going to bid until you pass out.  With a virtually bottomless wallet, he has no ceiling to respect.  Pace will be offering draft loot that he would never use anyway to get a quarterback who might save his ass.

Whether the Colts are in the game for Carson Wentz is entirely dependent upon the Bears targeting someone else.  If they like Deshawn Watson and the Texans are dopey enough to offer him to the Bears, then Wentz might be gotten by the Colts for fair value.  The Texans, as dumb as they are on occasion, would never deal an elite level QB within their own division, so that option is off the table for Ballard.

If the Bears covet Wentz, as Irsay coveted Gilmour’s guitar, they will get him.  Chicagoans will remember former Cubs GM Jim Hendry doing exactly the same thing in moronic deals that sent virtually the entire farm system elsewhere for a series of rag arms like Matt Garza and Rich Harden.

Hendry knew he was in trouble unless winning commenced immediately.  Why would he care what Chris Archer or Josh Donaldson would become in a year or two.  The Rays and A’s benefitted from Hendry’s indifference to long-term success.  The Eagles or Texans could find themselves in the same position.

There is one small advantage the Colts have over the Bears – cap space.  Ballard has almost $80M to play with, which is more than enough to accommodate Wentz’s bloated deal.  The Bears are already at the expected cap for 2021.  That means Pace would have to ship contracts to the Eagles – or Texans – to complete a deal.  Or they would have to trim the roster.  That might make things too messy to make a deal work for either side.

For the Colts to execute their plan to fill the most important position in team sports, they are going to have to wait for the Bears to make their play.  As galling as that may sound to Colts fans, they should be comforted by the Bears almost uninterrupted 70-year history of making the wrong choice at QB.

Will the Colts wind up with Wentz, Sam Darnold, or deal to move up into the top 10 of the draft for a prospect like Trey Lance?  Who knows?  Will the Bears ship draft picks and current talent to Philly or Houston?  We don’t know that either.

That’s what makes the NFL’s offseason almost as much fun as the regular season.

Colts Wentz Watch continues! Bayno exits Pacers! Butler at Hinkle tonight! Breakfast with Kent

Colts will not overspend for Wentz like Bears might! If IU wins, does it matter that starting guards can’t shoot?

Hoo-Hoo-Hoosiers – win + commitment! Brady wins another snoozer! Bears could screw up Colts pursuit of Wentz!

Colts Luck “more retired” than ever! LIVE from “Largest Super Bowl Party” site in Tampa!

Colts – Why would happy dad Luck return? IU basketball – one more year for Archie! Pacers crushed by Bucks!

Colts – Is Andrew Luck coming back? Indiana Basketball – Should Archie Miller be fired? Inside Indiana Sports NOW!

Indiana Basketball – Between the lines of Archie Miller’s comments about Illinois loss, toughness, & Jerome Hunter

 

Archie Miller‘s seat is not nearly as hot as many might believe. His position is secure through next season unless something drastic happens.

Indiana coach Archie Miller said some interesting things last night after Indiana lost in overtime to Illinois.  He knows what’s on the line, but appears not to be willing to do what is necessary to motivate a consistent effort from the Hoosiers.

For all four of his seasons as Tom Crean’s replacement, Miller has provided mediocrity spiced with occasional upset wins.  At 9-8, IU is in danger of missing the NCAA Tournament for the fifth straight year (it’s likely IU would have been invited last year, but there was no guarantee).

I enjoy watching Miller’s press conferences after a loss as a form of self-flagellation.  If you are a fan of painfully reliving losses, here are some of Miller’s comments, followed by my explanation of what they mean.

Here was Miller last night discussing his team’s toughness – or lack thereof:

“Our guys competed. We’re not tough enough to finish games off. We’re not tough enough in little plays. … The tough plays that you gotta make to win. That’s why we have so many heartbreakers.”

“I think our team is getting better. It is hard in this league when you not only have to play well but you have to be super tough at the right times. You have to able to make a couple plays, whether it is a loose ball, made free throws, or whatever it may be. We have to grow out of that because I think we can play anybody but we are having a hard time finishing things off.  The good thing is we have another opportunity on Sunday against a great team.”

The problem is not necessarily finishing things off but eliminating the mental lapses early on that put the team in a precarious position toward the ends of games.  Lane violations, missed defensive assignments, silly passes, missed free throws, and business decisions on defense all lead to a final possession for the game that Indiana cannot convert.

A lack of consistency can be overcome by excellent players at the high school level, which every Big 10 player was.  Screw some things up in the first half of a high school game, and clean it up over the last four minutes to rescue your team.  In the Big 10, that inconsistency in the first half is the difference between winning and losing.

Illinois was good enough to overcome an indifferent first half with withering defense in the second.  Indiana was not attentive to detail in the first half at a level that punished Illinois for laying back on defense.

There are two Indiana players who got after it for 40 minutes last night.  Armaan Franklin and Race Thompson were tough and grinded hard throughout the game.  Two out of five showing up every possession is not enough for Indiana.

The “I think our team is getting better” nonsense from Miller needs to stop.  It’s just silly banter from a coach who appears more interested in being positive with players than holding them publicly accountable.  Miller doesn’t need to put his players on blast with the media after every loss, but cushioning them with a hollow compliment after a loss at Assembly Hall is not Indiana-like.

He should also shelve the talk about how tough the Big 10 is.  We know the Big 10 is the best basketball conference top to bottom in the country.  Yes, it’s a challenge to win in the Big 10, so either find players capable of matching Illinois, Iowa, or Wisconsin’s toughness or go to a less-rigorous league.  It’s unbecoming of the coach at Indiana to talk about how hard it is to be “super tough at the right times.”  It’s Miller’s job to recruit and inspire toughness.

Toughness should be a given at any program because it is one of the few things in basketball that can be controlled.

On Jerome Hunter not dressing:

“There is nothing to really talk about with Jerome. Jerome was a coach’s decision and it’ll continue to be a coach’s decision as we continue to go through the next 33 days that we have left in the regular season. He has a chance to earn his way back onto the floor. He practices every day. He lifts weights. He does everything, but he is not going to take the floor again until the coach feels he is in the right frame of mind to number one lead himself in the right way and number two has the bigger picture in mind in terms of protecting our team at all times.”

“Jerome is a good kid. He is a good player. We could have used him tonight. The bottom line is, when he is right and concentrated on what he is supposed to do, he can help us. I don’t think right now he can help us until he shows me that. That is it for that. It was my decision and it will be to be determined when he plays again.”

I tend to get caught up in discipline and accountability for student-athletes who run afoul of behavioral expectations, but judging from Miller’s language in his comments about Hunter – specifically the phrase “protecting our team at all times” – I surmise this penalty was prompted by a violation of COVID-19 protocols.  Sounds like he spent time in very close proximity with a person or group of people who are not affiliated with the basketball team.

While that is a big deal, it does not rise to the level of a “pack your bags” violation.  Hopefully, he learns that his decisions have an impact upon others, and when he comes back he’s ready to be in the right place defensively at the right time.

**************

If it sounds like I’m down on Miller, of course I am.  Indiana is 9-8.  If IU fans, alums, and administrators are not down when Indiana is 9-8, there is a different set of problems that need to be addressed.

I’m not close to buying that athletic director Scott Dolson should make a change from Miller unless the exact right person is available.  I believe IU might be on the precipice of jumping a level.  The roster is going to get older, losing very little depth.  This isn’t about the realities of a $10.5M buyout – it’s about the possibility of a quality basketball product returning to Assembly Hall.

Next year, this will be Miller’s team lock, stock, and barrel.  If there is not marked improvement in results, a different conversation will need to take place.