Author Archives: Kent Sterling

Mike Rice Will Be Fired Today by Rutgers “Leader” Tim Pernetti

by Kent Sterling

Mike Rice's behavior will cost him his gig today.

Mike Rice’s behavior will cost him his gig today.

Doing what’s right doesn’t matter a damn to most administrators, and Rutgers athletic director Tim Pernetti said as much yesterday.  The right thing would have been to fire basketball coach Mike Rice as soon as anyone with the authority to do so saw the videotape showing physical and verbal abuse the first time.

Pernetti told WFAN yesterday, “The reaction — we knew what it was going to be. I need to sit here and think about what gives us the ability to be effective going forward in men’s basketball, and more importantly, what protects the university. There’s a lot of things on my mind right now that I’m thinking through and trying to make sure that whatever decisions I make on a going-forward basis, that we try to make the right one.”

The translation of “protect the university” is “protect my job”, because the most important thing to a man like Pernetti is to maintain his $450,000/year gig.

There are many calling for Pernetti’s head along with Rice’s, and they are of course right.  Pernetti showed a complete lack of leadership in evaluating the severity of Rice’s actions by fining, suspending, and requiring sensitivity sessions for the runaway anger train of a head coach.

The question many are asking is what does a coach have to do to prove himself unworthy of continued employment at the state university of New Jersey.

What administrators loathe more than anything else is noise, and everything Pernetti has done to this point has been designed to not cause noise.  Noise is defined as phone calls, lawsuits, questions from servers and patrons in restaurants, and the long conversation at home with a wife very concerned about their nice lifestyle being downsized.

Of course Pernetti should be canned immediately for putting his own needs ahead of the kids whose college life he oversees, but that’s a coin flip.  University presidents like noise even less than ADs, and whether Pernetti is fired will be determined by whether it will turn up or down the volume.

The call isn’t close for Rice.  New Jersey Governor Chris Christie is now a part of the process, as are LeBron James, Ray Allen, and every columnist in America, and there are very few that could justify retaining a man as unbalanced as the guy we have seen every hour on Sportscenter since yesterday afternoon.

Pernetti will try to mitigate the shrieks from the outraged millions by firing Rice today, and then Rutgers president Robert Barchi will make his call.

The only problem here is that Barchi also watched the tape prior to the suspension and fine that passed for a corrective measure.  The reason Rice wasn’t fired was to try to keep all the practice chaos on the down low.  A termination would require more than an explanation that Rice displayed conduct detrimental to the goals of the university.  The specifics would cause a serious backwash, and with a backwash comes?  Class?  Class?  That’s right – noise.

Pernetti isn’t some jackwagon like a lot of ADs who underestimate the media because Pernetti had a great career in media prior to accepting the job as AD at Rutgers.  He ran college football coverage at ABC and helped found the College Sports Television Network.

When he says that he knew what the media response would be to the video, he’s not lying.  He also knew that the key to things being okay for both he and Rice was time.  If they could somehow kick the ball far enough down the road, they could claim that he had taken serious measures to correct the emotional imbalance that caused the violent outbursts in practice.

Now, there are reports that two Rutgers players are transferring.  The USS Rutgers Basketball is sinking because Captain Rice has steered it into some rocks, and the head of the navy allowed him to continue as the pilot.

There is going to be another call today to Pernetti, and perhaps to Barchi.  It’s going to come from Big Ten commissioner Jim Delany, who is going to express concern about the publicity that will attach itself to the conference when Rutgers joins the Big Ten in 2014 if Rice is still the coach.

Pernetti took a shot to cover his ass with the suspension and fine.  Rice is done as a leader and recruiter.  Kids are jumping ship, and parents whose kids were considering the Scarlett Knights have crossed them off the list.  The only question to be answered is whether Pernetti can survive the dereliction of leadership that allowed a lunatic to remain as a mentor and leader of young student athletes.

The next step will be taken quickly as Mike Rice is told to pack a box.  Whether that quiets the noise for Pernetti and Barchi, we will find out before the weekend.

Colts/Rams Football – Luck vs. Bradford; Close on Paper, But Eye Test Is Different

by Kent Sterling

imagesThe City of St, Louis wants to love Sam Bradford.  Rams fans want to believe that the three-year veteran will be a late bloomer who will show his potential with better protection and weapons.

They point to a variety of reasons Bradford has looked nothing like a championship quarterback to this point in his career.  The rest of the team – the offensive line in particular – has not been the caliber a quarterback needs to function effectively is #1.  The second is that Bradford has not worked with the same offensive coordinator twice.

Andrew Luck hasn’t even worked with the same offensive coordinator for one season as his first O.C., Bruce Arians, was pressed into service as the head coach when Chuck Pagano took a leave to fight leukemia.  The Colts offensive line wasn’t exactly a brick wall last year, yielding more sacks against Luck than Bradford ever totaled.

Both quarterbacks lacked multiple dynamic receivers.  While Luck enjoyed having future hall of famer Reggie Wayne and his magic hands as targets, Bradford had multiple mediocre and/or extremely young wideouts and tight ends.

The raw statistics tell one story:

Luck in his rookie year was 339 for 627, 4,374 yards, 23TDs, 18 INTs, 41 sacks, andimages 255 yards and five TDs as a runner.  Yards per attempt were an even 7.0, and the Colts averaged 12.9 yards per completion.  The ESPN QBR for Luck is 64.99.

Bradford in his third year was 328 for 551, 3,702 yards, 21TDs, 13 INTs, 35 sacks, and 127 yards and one TD rushing.  Yards per attempt – 6.7, and the Rams averaged 11.3 yards per completion.  The ESPN QBR for Bradford is 51.56.

The traditional quarterback rating lines up in Bradford’s favor – 82.6 to 76.5.

The Colts finished last year 11-5 while the Rams were 7-8-1, but there are so many variables outside the control of the quarterback – strength of schedule and quality of the defense are two big ones – that it’s foolish to claim superiority because of team record.  Both Bradford and Luck authored four fourth quarter comeback wins.

Given the slight statistic edge to Luck, it might be reasonable to assert that the two are similarly talented quarterbacks.

The eye test tells a different story.  The game rewind feature at NFL.com has been a huge help as I’ve tried to catch up with who and what the 2012 Colts were.  Watching all the Rams games live kept me from seeing as much of the Colts as I would have liked, and while I thought Luck was pretty good based upon the small sample size I saw last season, watching every game in its entirety revealed Luck to be exceptional.

Luck does all the things Bradford is missing.  He consistently finds a way to elude pressure to complete passes to move the chains, or he tucks and runs.  I’ve yet to see a pass rusher catch Luck from behind, and while he misses throws, he doesn’t miss many reads.

The stuff you can’t quite put your finger on belongs to Luck as well.  I’m always surprised when Bradford steps up in the pocket to find a way to get the ball out to a receiver for a first down.  With Luck, I am now shocked when he doesn’t make a positive play.

As fans in St. Louis wait for the switch to go on for Bradford, and there is no doubt that he took a step forward last year, Luck looks like the second coming of Roger Staubach, but with a bigger arm.

Conventional thinking was that the Colts took a significant risk by opting to draft Luck and allow no doubt first ballot hall of famer Peyton Manning to sign with the Denver Broncos.  Not only do the Colts appear to have made the right choice for the longterm health of the franchise, they are on the money in the short term too.

Luck is a very special talent, while Bradford is entering a stage of his career where  reality must closer to potential.

Both were first picks, but as one is in the prime of his career, the youngster looks ready to lap the fourth year quarterback.

Indiana Basketball – Did the Hoosiers Rebuild Just Hit Peak

by Kent Sterling

The bodies filling these jerseys will change, but the expectations they allowed fans to build will remain.

The bodies filling these jerseys will change, but the expectations they allowed fans to build will remain.

The re-emergence of Indiana University’s basketball program has been a steady upward climb since the remnants of the grim Kelvin Sampson era walked out the door after not finding new coach Tom Crean to their liking.

But like every climb, up can only be so high, and now after rising to the top of the rankings and being eliminated in the Sweet 16 for the second straight year, the question of whether the top of the mountain has been reached is legitimate.

Crean is incredibly popular among students, not quite as popular within the athletic department, and a polarizing figure among alums.

Depending upon the decisions that will be made by junior guard Victor Oladipo and sophomore Cody Zeller to either return to Bloomington or forego their eligibility, the Hoosiers will return one, two, or three starters.

Assuming Oladipo and Zeller both leave, Indiana will start Yogi Ferrell, Will Sheehey, and a collection of parts that may include Jeremy Hollowell, Remy Abell, Hanner Perea, Peter Jurkin, and the incoming freshmen.

That class of freshmen is ranked in the top five nationally, and features spectacular athletes in Noah Vonleh and Troy Williams.  Stanford Robinson, Luke Fischer, Devin Davis, and Collin Hartman will also report to Bloomington, and Austin Etherington will return from injury.

Is that a combination of tools that can keep Crean’s Hoosiers at or near the top of the Big Ten?

After relying upon the best that Indiana high schools had to offer in last year’s class, Crean spent a little more travel money to  recruit four of the six incoming freshmen.

Vonleh is a 6’9″, 222 lbs. freak of vertical mobility.  Williams, 6’6″, 190 lbs., is lean but also a kid who brings tremendous athleticism.  Robinson is a playmaking wing.  Fischer is a prototypical 6’10” Wisconsin big man, which means he’s skilled and likes to step out to shoot it.

Davis and Hartman round out the class.  They are similarly sized (6’6″) kids from Indianapolis.  Davis can drive to the hoop, and Hartman is a solid shooter who plays team first basketball.

Because Indiana was such an experienced group this year, it’s hard to evaluate the 2012 class, much less a class that hasn’t graduated high school yet.  How good can Perea be?  Who knows.  Jurkin?  No clue.  Hollowell?  We’ve seen him, but it’s hard to have any idea what his ceiling is based upon this year.

Ferrell and Sheehey are the only known quantities, and they are solid players who can contribute to a successful team.  Fans have seen that.

It’s going to take a bunch of guys stepping up or stepping in to help the Hoosiers maintain the high level of play the 2013 team established.

If the Hoosiers do take a step back, the fallout won’t likely cost Crean his gig.  The buyout of the contract extension he signed in November is $8-million for the next two academic years, but then drops to $1-million after 2016, and finally $500,000 for the final four years.

Expecting routine trips to the Final Four is absurd, but with Indiana making only one trip (11 years ago) in the last 20 seasons, fans are getting antsy.  Only one #1 seed advanced to the Final Four this season, and Syracuse is going for the first time in a decade.

But this is Indiana, and in Indiana the talent ripens early, the facilities are the envy of 99% of the other programs, and the resources are plentiful.  The way SEC schools feel about football is the way Hoosiers feel about hoops.

If a coach doesn’t like the constant stratospheric expectations, Bloomington is not a great career destination.

The climb needs to continue, and while hanging banners is always the goal, the key is for there to remain hope for the fanbase that was pissed on by Mike Davis and Kelvin Sampson.  At some point, not being Davis or Sampson will not be enough for Crean, and that time may come a year from now.

The kids at Indiana graduate, it appears they behave as is demanded of them, their work ethic is beyond dispute, and the NCAA hasn’t found anything strange in the methods Crean employs to attract recruits.  Now all they have to do is continue to win enough to make filling out the March Madness brackets fun.

Opening Day for the Cubs – Bad News for Baseball’s Most Moronic Fans

by Kent Sterling

"Get saps to spend big money for an inferior product" must have been in a syllabus of a University of Chicago grad school course Cubs owner Tom Ricketts took.

“Get saps to spend big money for an inferior product” must have been in a syllabus of a University of Chicago grad school course taken by Cubs owner Tom Ricketts.

There is no punchline worthy of the beginning of baseball’s best joke – How stupid are Cubs fans?

Scores of sentimental dork sportswriters romanticize this ridiculous bunch.  Rick Morrissey of the Chicago Sun-Times extolled the virtue of the 2.88 million who poured through the turnstyles to watch one of the worst teams in the pathetic history of sports’ most enduring losers.

Again, Cubs fans will pay top dollar to watch a collection of misfits struggle to win 40% of their games.  They will watch Alfonso Soriano earn $19-million while refusing to lay off low and away breaking balls.  They will watch a third baseman named Luis Valbuena try to improve on his .219 batting average (where’s Gary Scott when the Cubs need him?)  And they will enjoy a starting rotation of Jeff Samardzija, Edwin Jackson, Travis Wood, Scott Feldman, and Carlos Villanueva – the wideout, Mr. Mediocre, who?, who?, and who?.

In the outfield, there is some new blood – a savior named Nate Schierholtz.  Career average of .270, and his OBP in six seasons with the Giants and Phillies is a not-so-robust .319.  He has 24 career home runs and 20 career steals in nearly 1,400 plate appearance.  Can I get an ugh from the corner of Clark and Addison?

The oddity of this Cubs rebuild, which to be fair is required because of the protracted and profound boobery of former general manager Jim Hendry, is that owner Tom Ricketts spent big to hire dream team tandem Theo Epstein and Jed Hoyer years before it was necessary.

There are lots of GMs who could take on the task of deconstructing the Cubs bad contract by bad contract.  Hire the poor schlub who runs the Royals on the cheap, and once the franchise hits the water table, then grab the staff to build a champion. For 2013 and 2014, Ricketts is paying Ferrari wages for Plymouth results.

And Cubs fans are paying steak prices for tickets, but being served ramen noodles.  They smile for the privilege.  That makes them idiots.

Steve Goodman wrote folk songs about being a Cubs fan, and fans sing one of them every time the Cubs win a home game.  It doesn’t happen often enough.  It’s a great song.

In some ways last year, this year, and 2014 will be among the least cruel season for Cubs fans because they have no chance at all of fulfilling the wishes of the most lamented fan bases on the planet.

In the meantime, fans will pay to watch bad baseball.  They will buy jerseys that scream at all who see them, “Im an idiot!”  And they will dull the pain with an $8 beer every inning of misery.

Somehow, according to a report released last week, the value of the Cubs has increased $150-million since Ricketts bought the team.  Part of that value must have been evaluated an a fancy actuarial table that is also used by companies that produce $200 bottles of tequila, bejeweled baby carriages, and $1,700 toilets that look like boxes.

Other baseball fans are no less loyal, but they are rewarded for it.  The St. Louis Cardinals have been to the playoffs nine of the last 13 seasons, and have been awarded championship rings twice in that time.  Showing that they actually care about their fans, the Cardinals gave away replica rings to fans on two nights last season.

Those rings are regularly sold on ebay for $60-$80.  That is how a team says thank you to fans, and the Cardinals do it 25,000 fans at a crack, while the Cubs dispense trinkets at a meager 10K per game.

That’s beside the point as the on-field product is what matters, and bribing fans to watch horrible baseball would be as unseemly as charging the prices the Cubs do for that honor.

Down deep, way down deep, there is part of me that remains a Cubs fan, but the way the Ricketts run this franchise and abuse Wrigley Field as a movie theater made it quite easy to become an admirer of the Cardinals.  They routinely do things on the field and off with pride and grace.

The only grace the Cubs have shown in the last 20 years is spending his nights in a work released camp in Arizona after his second DWI in less than two year, and is named Mark.

Cubs fans should stay home until Ricketts uses their hard-earned cash to put together an onfield product worthy of their investment.

Dallas Cowboys Sign Tony Romo to Extension that Guarantees $55-Million, and Continued Cowboys Mediocrity

by Kent Sterling

Tony Romo hasn't worn a Pro Bowl jersey like the one above since 2009.

Tony Romo hasn’t worn a Pro Bowl jersey like the one above since 2009.

It seems all that Dallas Cowboys owner/general manager fears is admitting a mistake.  Yesterday, he spent $55-million to let everyone know that he still believes in his quarterback.

Tony Romo will turn 33 next month, and the total for the six-year deal is $108 million extension, but what I have learned after extensive tutoring by the COO of an NFL franchise is that the guaranteed cash is all that matters.  Let’s evaluate this deal as though it’s only going to cost Jones the $55M.

At some point, the amount of cash doesn’t really matter.  If you stack cash as high as the eye can see, doubling it just doesn’t matter.  Nine million a year guaranteed for Romo is stupid on such a grand scale that doubling the money has no effect.

For a generation, Jones has lived in hope and died in desperation.  After doing the right thing often enough to win three Super Bowls, Jones has gone from being the NFL’s Midas to a cooler in Vegas.  That happens a lot to men who are incapable of admitting their own errors.  Correcting the missteps of Tex Schramm and Tom Landry was a piece of cake, but looking in the mirror is hard for a man so confident in his own ability.

That’s how a quarterback with one playoff win enters the last phase of his career, and is rewarded with money beyond the dreams of avarice.

Over the last three seasons, Romo has been 17-21 as a starter, and zero playoff appearances.  The value of any player is in how many wins he is capable of bringing a franchise, and as the sun begins to set on Romo, his ability to lead the Cowboys to a championship doesn’t justify that expense.

Jones had to restructure somebody’s deal because of salary cap issues, and Romo is the beneficiary of that poor planning.  The Cowboys will be $5M to the good this season as Romo makes $55M.

Romo is the kind of his risk/high reward quarterback that can bring you back from the dead five times in a season as he did last year, leading the NFL in comeback wins, or he can lose you games by leading the league in interceptions – as he also did with 19.

In the four games Romo threw more than one pick, the Cowboys were winless.  In games without a pick, they were 5-2.

Romo was third in the NFL in passing yards, but before we have a parade and you start thinking I’m ready to argue against myself, in the five games where Romo threw for more than 320 yards, the Cowboys were 1-4.

With a hard cap system like the NFL has, the allocation of money is the most important area of concern for management.  Spending must be done with great care, and the reckless rewarding of a quarterback who rewards and penalizes in the same measure is not logical.  That’s nothing new for Jones, whose hubris continues to make him one of the worst GMs in football while being one of the best owners.

Former IU Athletic Director Rick Greenspan Is in Deep Trouble – Again

by Kent Sterling

This is Rick Greenspan prior to being an accused xenophobe.

This is Rick Greenspan prior to being an accused xenophobe.

Oh boy.  There was never any doubt that former Indiana University Rick Greenspan is a self-immersed kook, but he has now been accused of being an unrepentant xenophobe – or a guy with a sense of humor on par with Archie Bunker.

Oregon will take the court in a couple of hours in downtown Indianapolis, and they have a power forward, Arsalan Kazemi, who filed a hardship waiver to transfer from Rice – the school where Greenspan fled after being sacked at Indiana.  That paperwork makes very specific allegations about repeated racist remarks by Greenspan to Kazemi, an Iranian.

In addition to Kazemi, Rice employed Marco Morcos, an assistant coach who is a native of Egypt, Omar Oraby – a center who also filed a hardship waiver and transferred to USC, and forward Ahmad Ibrahim – also of middle eastern descent.

Among the specific comments  by Greenspan alleged in the waiver request cited in a Sports Illustrated piece by Thayer Evans:

  • “All you need is a backpack and you are ready to bomb the school.” (to Morcos)
  • “Recruit more terrorists”
  • Greenspan asked if they were having an “Al-Qaeda meeting,” when talking in Arabic to another player.
  • “Stop speaking in this language because you could be plotting against us.”
  • “We only need one more guy to complete the Axis of Evil.”

As you might expect, Greenspan denies everything.

What can’t be denied is that the waiver was granted, and that if true, Greenspan continues to act like the tool who proudly welcomed Kelvin Sampson to Indiana University, where he took a wrecking ball to the program with his unquenchable need to win at all costs.  His lack of ability in gauging the character of recruits and amoral hubris in luring them to play for the Hoosiers brought disgrace to a proud tradition of doing things the right way at Indiana and resulted in unprecedented NCAA penalties and shame to all connected with the program and university.

There are those who claim the man who served as IU president at the time of Sampson’s hiring, Adam Herbert, made the call over the objections of Greenspan, but I heard the news of the hire from one of Sampson’s lieutenants before the announcement, and he was exceptionally proud that he and Greenspan “Got our man.”  Those might have been the words he used rather than give an unnecessarily detailed accounting of the machinations of the hire, but the glee with which he told me was overt.  If he could have made confetti fall from the ceiling as he said the name “Kelvin Sampson”, he would have.

Greenspan got buildings built, including Cook Hall, in Bloomington, but the body of his idiocy at Army, Indiana, and now Rice has too much bulk to be outweighed by occasional effective leadership.

Over time in a public role, flaws are revealed.  Whether Greenspan’s alleged comments were made out of an irrational fear of people of Middle Eastern lineage, an oddly inaccurate desire to engage and amuse, callous indifference to those he oversaw, or a combustable combination of the three, this guy’s trail of bumbletude has exploded far beyond most men’s ability to maintain or find continued employment in a position as visible as athletic director of an NCAA Division I university.

For more on Greenspan, here’s an oldie but goodie about John Feinstein’s loathing of Greenspan.

Can New Northwestern Basketball Coach Chris Collins Continue to Function Effectively as Duke Assistant?

by Kent Sterling

Chris Collins running the kind of public NCAA practice that his new employer has never enjoyed.

Chris Collins running the kind of public NCAA practice that his new employer has never enjoyed.

Anyone who has ever given notice to an employer knows it takes great discipline to continue to be focused on the task at hand.  I went through it a couple of weeks ago, and despite my best efforts, there is no doubt I relaxed a little bit.

By the measurables, I was still completely there.  I was on time, and remained until the day was done, but the passion for excellence was a hair less, and my willingness to say unpopular things was gone.

Chris Collins has had a similar challenge the past two days.  His Duke Blue Devils prepared for the Sweet 16 game against Michigan State at the same time he was negotiating his first head coaching deal with the Northwestern Wildcats.

After being an assistant for Mike Krzyzewski for 13 seasons, the soon-to-be 39 year-old is going to try it on his own at the only bigconference university never to have been invited to the NCAA Tournament.

I’m sure his intentions are pure, and his discipline strong, but there is no way that in idle moments he isn’t thinking about putting together his staff, and offseason plan for the Wildcats.  Human nature has a harsh gravitational pull, and what’s next  – what he has worked for his entire life – is right around the corner.

There were reminders all around as Duke came out for their public workout at Lucas Oil Stadium as CBS’s Jim Nantz greeted him warmly to congratulate him.  I wasn’t close enough to hear whether Nantz greeted him with a warm, “Hello, friend,” but they chatted amiably for a couple of minutes.  (as though anyone could have a hysterical and outraged talk with the perpetually decent Nantz.

Not to bounce off the subject, but I ran into Nantz in the Big Ten Tournament media buffet at Conseco Fieldhouse four years ago.  Actually, I was trying to figure out whether it was him.  Sometimes, people in real life look just enough different from their appearance on TV that it takes a few seconds to be sure.  Generally, famous people avoid eye contact because who wants to talk to the kind of kooks who are thrilled to meet the famous.  Nantz wasn’t like that.  He stared at me as I tried to figure out whether he was who I thought he was.  That was disconcerting enough that I didn’t say hello or introduce myself at all.  I just turned with my food and walked away, which begs the question whether it’s worse to be verbally assaulted or shunned by some idiot like me.  Or perhaps, he was unflappable as ever and kept his thoughts and temperment on the perpetual autopilot it’s been on for his nearly 30 years at CBS.

Collins seemed plenty plugged in with the Blue Devils as Coach K’s team ran though a spirited workout.  Compared to Louisville’s relaxed shootaround, Duke looked like the Soviet Union’s Olympic Hockey Team.  They were all business and hustle, and Collins was right in the middle of it.

After 13 years of being a solid soldier in the Duke Army, Collins has earned the trust that keeps him on the bench despite being pulled in a different director by relentless emotional physics.

I hope he enjoys this ride with Duke.  It might be his last.

Louisville Workout for Midwest Regional Loose and Fun – Same as It Ever Was

by Kent Sterling

LouisvilleAfter watching hundreds of workouts and shoot arounds, one thing I know is that using them to predict the outcomes of games is impossible.  Louisville is loose as hell, laughing, shooting, and enjoying themselves.  That’s the way the Cardinals have rolled forever.

I remember at the regional finals in Knoxville in 1983 when Louisville and Kentucky were slated to play for the first time in decades, walking around the team hotels for both the Cardinals and Wildcats, the Louisville players were having a ball with fans in the lobby, and the Kentucky players were stoic when allowed to venture from their rooms.  The game into overtime before Louisville won 80-68.

The only advantage it seems might have been gained was that Rodney and Scooter McCray, Derek Smith, and Lancaster Gordon had more fun the day before the game.  I left feeling bad for the Wildcats – not only did they lose a heartbreaker, but there weren’t any laughs for them the day before either.

Laughs are big with me.  What good is winning is you can’t enjoy it.  That seems to be the overarching philosophy of Louisville Basketball even 30 years and two days later.

There are other similarities that survive from the Denny Crum Era.  Louisville’s DNA requires that it make huge runs to take away all home from opponents.  The Big East Final comes to mind.  Louisville looked for all the world like they were going to get beat and not in a pretty way.  Syracuse led 45-29 with 15:34 to play.

Then Louisville went all Louisville on Syracuse.

With 5:17, Louisville led 62-51.  That’s a 33-6 run for those of you who didn’t get a C+ that could easily have been a B- in Maynard Thompson’s Finite Math course at Indiana University.  During that run, the Orange went 1-for-7 from the field, 4-for-8 from the line, turned the ball over nine times, and committed eight fouls.

There are two assumptions that can be drawn from that sequence – Louisville is never out of a game because their press can be onerous, and that whomever Syracuse plays is never out of a game because they can implode at any time.

Louisville looks the same at this workout as they did in the lobby of that Hyatt in Knoxville – loose, confident, and ready.  In one of the toughest regional finals in recent memory, the Cardinals look like they are enjoying the ride.

Indiana Basketball – Experts Wildly Mixed Indiana vs. Syracuse Preview of Tonight’s Game Against Syracuse

by Kent Sterling

UnknownEveryone knows that the so-called experts haven’t got a license on prognostication any more than the women who watch one half on college hoops and then win their office pool, but the day of a huge game we need to know what the smart guys think.  The smart guys have weighed in without meaningful consensus.

It bears mention that Syracuse pops out future broadcast sports journalists like Kentucky sends players to the NBA (except the Orange kids stick around for four years).

The oddsmakers have installed Indiana as 5.5 point favorites, but that number isn’t a prediction for the game.  It’s an educated guess at the spread which will split the money – 50% for Indiana and 50% for Syracuse.

Against teams that made the tourney, Indiana is 11-6 straight up, but only 7-9-1 against the spread.  Tonight they can lose against the spread, but win the game.  Syracuse is 9-8 straight up and 6-11 against the spread.

Here is a breakdown of the game from several respected guys who get paid for their opinions:

Eamonn Brennan, ESPN

With the possible exception of occasionally turnover-prone Michigan State facing the turnover-swarming monster that is Louisville, there may be no tougher single matchup for any remaining Big Ten team than what Syracuse will present to Indiana on Thursday.

The Orange front line is big, lanky, physical and athletic, the kind of personnel that frequently gives Cody Zeller issues. The size and reach Unknowndifferences between 6-foot-4 Brandon Triche and 6-foot-6 Michael Carter-Williams and 6-footers-on-platforms Yogi Ferrell and Jordan Hulls make it hard to imagine how either will find unencumbered looks. Indiana prefers to play uptempo, ball-movement offense; when it gets mired in a 60-possession, half-court game, it stagnates. And more than anything, the only two areas where Indiana is legitimately weak — turnovers on offense and rebounding on defense — just so happen to be the two areas in which the Orange do most of their best work. Syracuse doesn’t shoot it well, but it turns you over and crashes the offensive glass, and if you can’t stand up to that, good luck.

But the Hoosiers are still the favorite, and for good reason: They’re the Hoosiers.

Austen Kas, Crimson Quarry

(ed. note: This capsule perfectly states the quandary this game presents among competing experts, but in the same paragraph)

Thursday’s matchup should be a dandy. In some ways, Indiana (29-6) is a team perfectly suited to beat Syracuse, and the Orange (28-9) are exactly the kind of squad that can give the Hoosiers fits.

Mike DeCourcey, The Sporting News

As much trouble as Indiana has had in settling into its offense, it’s possible playing against a zone will force the Hoosiers to be more together when they have the ball. Their nagging habit of one-pass shots would fuel Syracuse’s desire to get into the transition game. The Orange finish extremely well, and the more they run the less their limitations as a halfcourt offense matter. Ferrell, the Hoosiers’ freshman point, has faced few players at his positions with Michael Carter-Williams’ size advantage but might be able to use his quickness and strength to get into his body and make igniting the offense more difficult. But that’s only if Syracuse is forced to operate as a halfcourt team. Indiana always has favored a quicker tempo, but it would have a substantial advantage if it makes the Orange walk.

York Daily Record

1. Indiana is 11-1 all-time as a No. 1 seed, with the resulting 91.6 winning percentage the best such mark for a top seed in NCAA Tournament history.

2. Boeheim’s 50 NCAA Tournament victories rank fourth all-time.

3. The Hoosiers are the sixth-best shooting team in the country (48.6 percent) while the Orange own the third-best field-goal defense (37.3).

PREDICTION: Indiana 74, Syracuse 65

Kent Sterling

I hate the 2-3 zone.  I think it’s a sell-out defense for teams that can’t defend like men.  Jim Boeheim has made millions recruiting to it and teaching it.  It’s his calling card, just as man belonged to Bob Knight.  As a result of my disdain, under no circumstance would I ever pick Syracuse to win – against anyone.  I would hate myself in the morning for winning by picking a team that relies on the 2-3.

So I pick Indiana, but this is a clash of styles and results.  Indiana shoots it great and is incredibly efficient on offense.  Syracuse causes offenses to miss a lot of shots.  That makes this a battle of execution.  When Indiana shoots better than 42%, they almost always win – the exception is the Illinois game.  Syracuse allows opponents to shoot 37.3% on average.  If Indiana moves the ball well and creates open looks, they win.  If Indiana can keep Syracuse off the offensive glass, they win.  If Syracuse can get Indiana to force shots, or shoot too early in the clock when they run their half court offense, Syracuse will make life tough for the Hoosiers.

If Indiana gets of to a good start, this one can get away from the Orange.  Indiana does not like having its rhythm disrupted, and a 2-3 allows for some rhythm.  This is elementary but true – if Indiana can enter the ball to the middle of the zone, they win this game easily.  If thy try to generate offense from the wing, it could be a long night.

Indiana over Syracuse, 70-62.

2013 NCAA Tournament – Success with Three-Star Recruits Is Nothing New

by Kent Sterling

Zach Hahn and Matt Howard celebrated 24 summer tournament titles before they ever played for Butler University.

Zach Hahn and Matt Howard celebrated 24 summer tournament titles before they ever played for Butler University.

I’ve written often about a class of 2007 summer team that played together without ego, a lack of concern for being recruited, and a love for one another that oddly remains the exception to the rule in youth basketball.  With the successes of Florida Gulf Coast, LaSalle, and Wichita State in last weekend’s first two rounds of the NCAA Tournament, columnists are writing rhapsodies to the three-star kids who are still dancing while the five-star kids at Kentucky are back in Lexington after a first-round loss in the NIT.

That team, together as a unit for three summers ending in 2006, won 90% of its games against the best talent in America.  Getting coaches to look at these guys was tough, and to get them to like what they saw was even harder.  As individuals, they weren’t tremendously long, able to jump out of the gym, or incredibly quick on defense.  But they won – almost always.

Many high major coaches felt like they wasted their time watching the ironically named Spiece Central Stars.  Several said they would not be coming back, showing the same lack of respect that opponents shared during warm-ups as they smiled watching this group of non-stars.  As the Stars would go through their pregame routine, opponents would gawk and smirk.  Once the game started, the smiles turned upside down as coaches called an early timeout down 12-2 or worse, the victims of outstanding shooting and precise offensive execution.

Better than the games were the practices.  Getting to the Lawrence North gym first, where the team worked twice each week from April 1st to July 31st, was the biggest challenge.  Dennis Ziegler from Pike High School in Indianapolis joined the team for the summer between his sophomore and junior seasons.  He arrived at 6:00 p.m. – exactly on time for his first workout with his new team – took four steps, and gawked at the nine new teammates that had already worked up a sweat running their pre-practice practice.  No one allowed themselves to show up later than 5:30p for a 6p practice because what could be more fun than working at the game they adored with the teammates they love.

And when the whistle blew, the focus was tremendous.  Perfection was the goal as the kids would shout out the number of shots in a row they hit.  After the 90-minute practice, it was time for more shooting because being better than the other guys at anything means working harder at it.

In the hotels on the road for tournaments, all the teammates hung out in the same room laughing at whatever was on TV.  Then they would meet in the lobby, get in the van, and beat the hell out of everyone in front of an indifferent smattering of coaches.

There were exceptions.  We saw a whole lot of Butler assistant Brad Stevens, IPFW’s Dane Fife, and there was usually someone from Purdue – even in pool play games.  Frankie Smith from Miami of Ohio was around a lot too.

It was time well spent for Stevens because Matt Howard and Zach Hahn helped change the Butler program – leading them to back to back National Championship games.  Fife got Ben Botts for his time in non-descript gyms, and Ben rewarded him with 1,400 points scored on 44.5% shooting from beyond the arc.  When Fife took the IPFW job as a relative youngster, I asked an expert of Indiana college hoops about the move.  He said it was terrible for Fife because winning more than 10 games there was an impossibility.  In Ben’s senior season, IPFW won a school record 18 games.  What did Purdue get for watching the Stars?  A skinny kid that every other high major who took the time to look at passed on until it was too late – JaJuan Johnson.  JJ helped the Boilers to 107 wins and a 54-18 record in the Big Ten during his four years before being drafted by the Boston Celtics.

Nate Blank went to Gardner Webb, beating Kentucky as a freshman and getting his picture on the cover of the USA Today sports section.  Joe Hughes went Xavier, where he is #2 all-time in wins for the Musketeers.  John Ashworth took his cerebral game and card tricks to IUPUI, and Ryan Sterling worked hard at Loyola of Chicago.

Not surprisingly, several of the kids are coaching, others will go to law school, and one is doing both.  They knew how to play, and the teams that invested in those kids helped programs win at record levels.  Those coaches who took the time to understand what they were watching were rewarded.  Many of the rest are looking for work.

Assembling a team isn’t only about aggregating the most impressive array of talent.  Butler learned that the fun way in 2010 and 2011.  Kentucky learned it the hard way in 2013.

College basketball fans are being reminded of it the fun way this month as FGCU, LaSalle, and Wichita State shock everyone but those kids who already knew how good they were.  Diligence, purpose, and love win games and hearts no matter how many stars are next to a name on rivals.com.