Author Archives: Kent Sterling

Indiana Basketball loses to Purdue again – it’s time for Miller to emulate Urban Meyer

The time has come for Archie Miller to pivot around or over the brick wall against which he constantly bangs his head.

Indiana Basketball under Archie Miller appears determined to do the same thing again and again hoping for different results.  The results, now in a fourth year, have not been different.  The 81-69 loss to Purdue was similar to all the other results Millers’ Hoosiers have earned against the Boilermakers.

IU’s defeat last night was Miller’s sixth without a win.  The average deficit of those losses has been 11 points.  Indiana looks eerily similar from game to game and season to season as they languish in the bottom half of the Big 10.  Their misery against Purdue stretches farther back that Miller’s arrival in Bloomington.  Tom Crean lost five of his last six against Matt Painter‘s Boilermakers, but Miller has been on the job long enough to own the recent lack of success against his in-state rival.

As a counterpoint to Miller’s intractability during duress, I searched for stories about great coaches who adjusted when times got tough.  I came across a pretty well known moment during Urban Meyer’s time at Florida when his Gators turned the corner and established Meyer as one of the top leaders in the game.

Using the offense he developed at Bowling Green and Utah, Meyer was out-schemed at LSU in a 21-17 loss.  The Tigers blitzed ever time Florida went empty backfield, and Florida had no counter punch as Meyer tried to operate his offense with former coach Ron Zook’s roster.

After the game, Meyer threw his playbook in the trash and resurrected parts of Zook’s offense, including the implementation of a fullback.  The following week, Florida beat #4 Georgia 14-10 in the World’s Largest Cocktail Party game at the Gator Bowl.

Meyer put pride and dogma aside and did what was necessary to win.  That’s what great coaches do.

As I watch Indiana operate with very similar schemes and behaviors game after game and season after season, Miller appears to be unwilling to do the same thing.  There are wrinkles that IU implements, but it seems Miller is convinced that his Hoosiers can succeed only by improving at doing what he demands of them in the way he demands it, rather than catering to their collective and individual strengths.  He appears unwilling to throw the playbook in the trash and focusing on winning rather than prideful adherence to his ideology.

We aren’t at practice or in meetings and have only the games as evidence of Miller’s leadership, the achieving the same results again and again suggests the same operational methodology.

The result of whatever is going on behind the scenes at Cook and Assembly Halls has been winning percentages of .516, .543, .625, and .571, and exactly zero winning seasons in Big 10 play.  Miller’s current team has two Crean recruits remaining – Al Durham and Race Thompson – so these are now Miller’s guys who should be able to function well in Miller’s system.

They don’t.

Miller keeps saying things like “It’s on me,” in postgame press conferences.  He said it again last night, and with a stretch of five games looming against Iowa, Rutgers, Michigan, Illinois, and Iowa (again), I expect to hear it a few more times, and he will be right.  At some point, the responsibility for entrenched mediocrity – unless there is a drastic change in results – will fall on the desk of the man paid $3.5M per season to win games and graduate student-athletes without cheating.

Coaches who bang their heads against brick walls tend to bleed before finally being carted away.  Miller needs to take a page out of Meyer’s playbook, walk around or climb the brick wall, and find a way to win.

The banging – and losing – has to stop.

Victor Oladipo’s search for happiness will continue in Houston, and Indianapolis is just fine with that!

If Victor Oladipo can’t be happy in Indianapolis, he can’t be happy anywhere.

If a professional athlete outgrows Indianapolis, the issue is not with this city but with the athlete.

During his just ended time in Indy, Victor Oladipo came to believe that he would be unable to reach his potential from a branding/business perspective while stuck in this relatively small NBA market.   His evolution as a brand was stunted by tiny Indy and the flyover fans in it.

Really?

It never hurt Reggie Miller.  It never hurt Peyton Manning.  It never hurt Tony Dungy. And it didn’t hurt Oladipo.

What hurt Oladipo – and Paul George before him – is Indianapolis’s lack of fascination with celebrity.  People here treat celebrities like ordinary folks.  There are no fawning crowds in restaurants clamoring for autographs or people impressed by millions of IG followers.  People in Indy are trying to live life as best they can while respecting the space of others.

I knew there was a problem with Oladipo two years ago when he (or one of his minions) called ahead for a private room at the northside Harry & Izzy’s one night while I was there.  Maybe in LA or New York, a private room or VIP area serves a purpose to keep groupies away, but not in Indianapolis.

I’ve seen people leave both Manning and Miller alone in restaurants.  I’ve seen Larry Bird ignored.  I saw NCAA president Mark Emmert at the same Harry & Izzy’s on that same night.  Unlike Manning and Miller, Emmert is disliked vehemently by some for the way he runs college sports, and people might want to give him a piece of their mind (no one did – although I was tempted).  Somehow, Oladipo needs a private room?

People say, “But Victor is a singer and can’t achieve his goals as a worldwide iconic entertainer in Indianapolis.”  Is that right?  Being in Indy, Orlando, Oklahoma City, and Bloomington has been the problem with Oladipo’s record sales.  The truth is Oladipo doesn’t move music because while a gifted singer among the small universe of NBA players, he is quite ordinary compared to people who do it for a living.

As you list problems that corrupt your ability to be fruitful and happy, where you live should be nowhere near it.  The list should be filled with who you live with, why you make the choice you do, and how you behave.  Those problems follow us wherever we go.  Most people search for solutions without looking in the mirror until turning 30, and begin living as an adult.  At that point, we realize that problems tend to follow us from town to town.  Moving to LA, Chicago, and New York are not solutions.

The truth about Indianapolis is that this is the best major league city in America for athletes.  State income tax is low, real estate prices make buying a great home painless, fans are respectful of your space, teams are almost always competitive (at least), and the complications of a huge city are nowhere to be found.

That Oladipo could not find a way to enjoy Indianapolis and profit from the willing fervor Pacers fans felt for him is all on him.  He will find it is the same wherever he ends up after finishing this season in Houston – if he winds up anywhere.  He’s 28 and on his fifth team, so continuing to bounce around North America until he’s 36 is a possibility.

Hoosiers bear some responsibility for Oladipo’s wanderlust – and Paul George’s before him – in recognizing when a guy is full of it – when he begins to believe his own hype and drink his self-stirred Kool-Aid.  Indianapolis doesn’t like liars, posers, or social climbers.  Act like a human being, Indy is right there with and for you.  Demand star treatment, and the wall goes up quickly and permanently.

One day, Oladipo might develop enough self-awareness to understand that his happiness – or lack thereof – is entirely based upon who he is … not where he is.

PACERS BLOCKBUSTER! Oladipo swapped for LeVert in their part of a four-way deal sending Harden to Nets

James Harden going to the Nets is the ESPN headline, but Oladipo for LeVert is much more interesting to Pacers fans!

If the Rockets were among the teams Victor Oladipo solicited while in the bubble playing for the Pacers, he got his wish.

Oladipo, who went from selfless hero to mirror-caressing diva with speed enough to impress Paul George, was dealt this afternoon to the Houston Rockets in a four-way deal that sent James Harden to the Brooklyn Nets and Caris LeVert back to the Pacers along with a second rounder.

LeVert is a fifth-year wing who has started roughly half the games he played since joining the Nets in a draft night deal that sent LeVert from the Pacers to the Nets in exchange for Thad Young.

If he can stay healthy, which has been a significant challenge for LeVert since his junior year at Michigan. LeVert is a solid wing who can get points, rebounds, and assists, averaging 18.5/4.3/6.0 while playing more than 27 minutes in al 12 Nets games.

Whether this deal is a great one for the Pacers comes down to whether they could have gotten a better return for Oladipo – a short-term asset for the Rockets with significant buy-in issues and the potential for never being the same player he was prior to tearing his quad tendon.  LeVert is a reasonable facsimile of Oladipo in several ways who belongs to the Pacers for two years beyond Oladipo’s best possible expiration date.  LeVert is on a team-friendly deal that will keep him in Indy for this season plus the next two at an average of $17.5M per.

Most troubling about Oladipo was his recent return to Chuckerville after taking an average of 19 shots to score 19 points over his last five games.  Victor the diva was never going to mesh on the floor with point guard Malcolm Brogdon, who has been the clear and obvious team leader since being acquired by the Pacers in a deal with the Bucks.

LeVert at his best is never going to be the equal of pre-injury Oladipo, but then again neither is Oladipo.

This is a deal the Pacers had to make if Oladipo was determined to bounce after the season – or try to extract max money out of the Pacers.  Time will tell whether it was the right deal at the right time, but in the moment it appears reasonable.

And given that Harden’s shots have to be taken be somebody as the Rockets completely unravel, Oladipo may find enhanced opportunities to go bombs away as he stat-stuffs toward a lucrative free agency.

Here is a very partial comp between Oladipo and LeVert for this brief regular season:

Oladipo6’4″, 213 lbs – 20 ppg; 5.7 rpg; 4.2 apg; 36.2% 3pt%; 50.3% eFG%; 105 OR; 108 DR

LeVert6’6″, 20.5 lbs – 18.5 jpg; 4.3 rpg; 6.0 apg; 34.9 3pt%; 49.0 eFG%; 108 OR; 109 DR

 

Indianapolis Colts – Enormous questions will be answered by GM Chris Ballard in this pivotal offseason

Chris Ballard has had a lot of reasons to smile during his four draft nights. He needs another great draft to get his Colts over the hump.

The first part of Colts general manager Chris Ballard’s process was easy.  Take a roster that was a wreck and methodically acquire upgrades each year through the draft.

Andrew Luck‘s sudden retirement was a blow to the Colts immediate chances to win, but provided Ballard a little more cover and time.  Fans retired their expectations for wins as Adam Schefter’s tweet breaking the Luck story circulated, and Ballard netted another year to get things a little more right.

The Colts just ended Ballard’s fourth season with a thud in Buffalo, and in that moment his job got tough.  Expectations are for the Colts to take another step forward, and that requires Ballard say goodbye to some of the good pieces he’s gathered in favor of upgrades that might provide a championship or regression.

Anyone can take bad to mediocre, and most GMs can manage an evolution from mediocre to good.  Very few can elevate a team from good to great.  Remember Bill Polian, one of the best GMs to ever do it, won just a single Super Bowl.  Fans can crap on Ryan Grigson all they like, but his first three teams went to the playoffs with 11-5 records.  It was when he shoved his chips into the middle of the table to go from good to great that the wheels came off the cart.

And Ballard’s job just got a little more difficult a few minutes ago as left tackle Anthony Castonzo announced his retirement.  Castonzo was the final bridge to the Polian era – a first round pick in the 2011 draft.  Now, Ballard only has three players he inherited remaining on the active roster – T.Y. Hilton, Jack Doyle, and Ryan Kelly.  That’s how quickly rosters morph in the NFL.

Left tackle is one of those spots where a great player is needed to win a championship.  Quarterback, lockdown corner, and edge rusher are others.  Right now, the Colts can’t claim a check in any of those boxes.  They also don’t have a reliable deep threat wide receiver with free agent T.Y. Hilton migrating from dynamic to useful, if he returns.

The Colts have a lot of good and some great, but not at the spots where you would like it.  Quenton Nelson is a dominating left guard.  Braden Smith and Ryan Kelly are really good at right tackle and center.  DeForest Buckner is behind only Aaron Donald, the NFL’s most disruptive defensive player in the league, at defensive tackle.  Philip Rivers is a hall of good quarterback – one of the best non-elite QBs in NFL history.

Maybe Nelson slides over to left tackle and Ball State alum Danny Pinter takes over the left guard spot he vacates.  That would fill one spot internally.  If Nelson is a hall of fame guard, maybe he can be a pro bowl left tackle.  Who knows?  They pay Ballard the big bucks to solve riddles like that.

Now is the time for Ballard to press forward to find upgrades despite knowing those he is leaving himself vulnerable to potential downgrades as he shoots for a championship.

The Colts assets are enviable.  Castonzo’s $16-million for 2021 bring the Colts cap space to more than $70-million, although some of that could be gobbled up quickly as free agents like Rivers, Hilton, Justin Houston, and Denico Autry may be re-signed.  That still leaves a significant chunk of cash to throw at free agents.

The Colts also have seven picks, including the 21st overall pick, in the 2021 NFL Draft.

Nowhere is an upgrade more necessary or more difficult to acquire than at quarterback.  GMs understand all too well that winning a championship requires a stud QB.  Rivers is to be lauded for a variety of attributes, but his lack of wheels and reliable deep ball put the Colts at a disadvantage against the Bills, Chiefs, Ravens, and Browns (the four remaining playoff teams from the AFC.

But Rivers brings two massive positives – reliability (he has never missed a start) and intellect (he avoids sacks and picks with equal dexterity).  He also just finished leading the Colts to the playoffs – a place Jets castoff-in-waiting Sam Darnold has never been in three seasons and may never go, despite many Colts fans coveting him.  Matthew Stafford is another oft-discussed potential target for Ballard.  He is winless in three trips to the playoffs.

See what I mean?  It’s easy for us to have answers, but Ballard will either sink or swim in large part because of decisions he makes in two months when free agency opens. His kids will either stick around Indy and grow up here – or will be forced to move elsewhere if Dad makes a spate of ill-advised moves.