Author Archives: Kent Sterling

Indiana loses Ballou, Rhea, James, DeBoer, Ramsey, Cronk & Hendershot, but not ready to point at Allen yet!

Tom Allen has an opportunity to prove his mettle as he responds to recent adversity.

February and March are usually quiet months for Indiana Football.  News from the football program usually creates no more than a small ripple across the Hoosier state.

Not so much this year.  Yesterday, we found out that freshman running back Sampson James entered his name in the transfer portal, but that might not have been the biggest loss of the day for the program that loves each other.

Alabama has hired Matt Rhea and David Ballou, who proved to be difference makers since joining the Indiana program two years ago as Football’s High Performance Coordinator and the Director of Athletic Performance respectively.

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Without getting into scientific detail, Rhea and Ballou were very adept at helping three-star recruits exhibit the traits of four-star players.  Hoosiers became stronger and faster at a higher level than players at other Big 10 programs – hence, the popularity of Rhea and Ballou with Nick Saban.

If only that was the end of the bad news.  Tight end Peyton Hendershot was suspended indefinitely just over a week ago, and let’s not forget the transfers of left tackle Coy Cronk and quarterback Peyton Ramsey, who decided another offseason fighting for the starting job with Michael Penix was not in his best interest.

A cynic might see the sudden abdications of so many assets who made possible Indiana’s first eight win season in a quarter century as a harbinger of doom for both Indiana Football and coach Tom Allen.

Let me try to explain how each piece of this horrifying puzzle might not be a cause for panic.

  • Rhea and Ballou are leaving for money and the opportunity to win a championship.  No matter the financial bonanza the Big 10 affords Indiana University, IU cannot compete with Bama’s ability to pay staff or come close to matching their potential for trophies.
  • Hendershot?  Keeping 110 players from screwing up is impossible.  One arrest does not a lack of control make.  Hendershot put his hands on a woman, and this episode gives Allen an opportunity to show that level of idiocy will not be tolerated.  The indefinite suspension, depending upon its duration, will show players the consequences of battery against women.
  • Ramsey has one season of organized football left in his life, and last offseason he was replaced by Penix as the starter.  He has no interest in spending his final fall as a football player waiting for Penix to be injured in order to play.  Very understandable.
  • Running backs James and Ronnie Walker don’t want to play behind Stevie Scott for the next two years.
  • Kalen DeBoer left as offensive coordinator to take the head coach position at Fresno State, which is certainly understandable.  If head coaches were judged negatively based upon losing coordinators, Nick Saban would have been canned years ago!
  • Cronk?  OK, you got me.  There’s no obvious explanation for Cronk to not return, unless he wanted to upgrade to Iowa for competitive reasons.

It’s interesting during March to write about Indiana University without mentioning the basketball program.  That doesn’t happen very often, but attention – good and bad – is earned when the football program puts up eight wins and visits Florida for a bowl.

Tom Allen won’t be judged by these transfers and staff exits, but by how he handles them.  This is called adversity, and Allen has a chance to respond positively to it and make IU Football stronger.  Not only will it bring more wins to Bloomington, it will set a positive example for his student-athletes.

Allen finally has the opportunity to prove himself a capable head coach when playing behind a dwindling stack of chips.

Who is going to be the Colts QB in 2020? Jacoby Brissett is odds on favorite in a crowded field

Jacoby Brissett is currently atop the Colts depth chart at quarterback, so he is the favorite to be the starting quarterback in 2020.

The great mystery of the Colts offseason is who their starting quarterback will be this fall.

It’s been a long time since the Colts had a hole at that position as they prepped for free agency and the draft.

Even in 1998 and 2012, the last two times the Colts invested a first round pick on a quarterback, they knew Peyton Manning and Andrew Luck would be coming to Indy.

This year is different because there are a bunch of big name free agents, and the Colts have the 13th pick in the first round, which leaves general manager Chris Ballard at the mercy of the 12 teams ahead of them.

Click here for your copy of “Oops – the Art of Learning from Mistakes and Adventures” by Kent Sterling

Let’s not forget Jacoby Brissett, who is the incumbent.  Despite being thrust into the starting role when Andrew Luck retired 15 days prior to the opener of the 2019 season, Brissett acquitted himself quite well in 2019 until spraining his knee in Pittsburgh.

Jacoby Brissett – 5-2  The Colts were 5-2 when Brissett went down at Heinz Field.  At the time, Brissett had thrown 14 TDs and only three interceptions.  Through those seven games, Brissett’s passer rating topped 80 six times.  After the injury, Brissett topped 80 just once with only four TDs and another three picks.  As with the law, possession is 90% of who wins the job next season.  Incumbency makes Brissett an underwhelming favorite.

Justin Herbert – 6-1  It looks like Herbert is the most likely of the top tier of quarterbacks to fall to the Colts at 13.  He’s a prototypical quarterback at 6’6″, 238 lbs. who can make all the throws.  He had a great Senior Bowl week, according to reports, and possesses solid leadership traits.  He might not have the high ceiling of Jordan Love of Utah State, but his floor is quite a bit higher.  One knock is that he is not well practiced at taking snaps under center, but that’s a skill that can be acquired.  Herbert’s last three games for Oregon were not his best, but the Ducks won all of them so it’s hard to ding him for not throwing for 200 yards in any.  That might actually make the Colts love him as a skilled game manager all the more.

Tom Brady – 10-1  Maybe I’m living in hope and will die in desperation, but Brady seems a really good fit for the Colts.  The defense is young and improving, the offensive line returns intact, and Ballard has $86-million of cap space to throw around.  If the Colts sign the soon-to-be 43-years-old Brady to a two-year deal at $60-million, keep Brissett this year as a back-up, and draft a young guy like Herbert to develop, that would set up the Colts in 2020 and through 2030 at the NFL’s most important position.  It’s a long shot, but unlike Philip Rivers as a free agent, it makes sense.

Teddy Bridgewater – 15-1  Of all the candidates, Bridgewater is somehow the least sexy, but perhaps the best combination of both long and short-term promise for success.  All Bridgewater did last year in five starts for the Saint was win (5-0), and in his only season as a full-time starter for the Vikings, he went 11-5.  It bears mention that the 27-year-old Bridgewater was not spectacular in those five games last year.  His QBR was just 45, but winning is more important than stats.  Bridgewater’s long-term health is also an issue because of the catastrophic leg injury he suffered in 2016.  The torn ACL and dislocated knee have healed, but they leave him at a higher risk of more injuries.

Jordan Love – 18-1  It’s likely, according to mock drafts, that Love will be gone by the time the Colts are at the clock.  There is a chance the Colts could move up if they are absolutely awestruck by Love.  He had a magnificent sophomore season with 32 TDs and six picks, but his junior (and final) year at Utah State was lackluster with just 20 TDs and 17 picks.  Love is not a finished product, and might require a Mahomes-esque year in waiting before being trusted as the starter.  That makes him unlikely to start even if the Colts tab Love at lucky #13.

Philip Rivers – 50-1  Rivers just doesn’t make any sense as a target for the Colts.  He’s not only old, but in decline.  Not once in his 14 seasons as a starter did Rivers take the Chargers to a Super Bowl.  In his last decade, Rivers led the Chargers to a 77-83 record.  Colts fans have always loathed Rivers for knocking the Colts out of the playoffs to end their 2007 and 2008 seasons, but that wasn’t the same Rivers as the guy who’s about to turn 39.  Because Ballard’s moves always make sense, I’ve expended way too much time and energy trying to find ways the Colts signing Rivers is logical.  I have yet to find any.

75-1 – the Field  There are always unknowns lurking somewhere out there that might dazzle Ballard and his staff.  There are quarterbacks that might be available with the 34th or 45th pick that the Colts might love.  Trying to outguess Ballard over the three-day draft is impossible.  They love to stick to their board – which bears little resemblance to mock drafts we will peruse and create over the next seven weeks.  If the Colts have defensive tackle Javon Kinlaw (or anyone else) slotted ahead of Love or Herbert on their board, they are going to take Kinlaw (or someone else).

Andy Dalton and Jameis Winston – 500-1  There is no chance the Colts are going to trade meaningful assets to acquire Dalton – who has never led the Bengals to a postseason win.  Someone is going to overpay for the upside represented by Winston’s 5,109 passing yards in 2019 while believing they can coach him away from the bad decisions that led to last season’s 30 picks.

Indiana Basketball fans are four different kinds of crazy – an argument is always one sentence away

Archie Miller wants his team to play on the road with an “I don’t give a s**t about nothing” attitude. IU fans will always give a s**t.

Indiana fans are a kooky bunch.

Despite almost 20 years of disappointing fans, Indiana University Basketball still engages alums and Hoosiers at an extreme level.  More Ken Pomeroy subscribers claim IU as their favorite team than any other program.  More Ken Pomeroy subscribers claim IU as their favorite team than Penn State, Minnesota, Nebraska, Rutgers, Northwestern, and Notre Dame combined.

While IU has escaped national relevance for most of the last quarter century, fans are still heavily invested in both the history and the current product.

Click here for your copy of “Oops – the Art of Learning from Mistakes and Adventures” by Kent Sterling

On social media, Twitter feeds fill with gameday moans, groans, cheers and exultations.

Explaining the craziness of Indiana fans is pointless, but we can compartmentalize them into four equally troubled groups.  Here are four kinds of Indiana fans who suffer from derangement – but in strikingly different ways.  Each group enjoys yelling at the other three on social media as well as in bars.

Grim Reapers – These haughty basketball aficionados always sees the worst in the Hoosiers.  They are elitists who feel smart because they can see clouds that surround silver linings.  If Indiana wins by 30, they yelp about a poorly set cross screen set with 10:08 remaining in the first half.  They crow about advanced analytics without having any understanding what the term “advanced analytics” means.

Cheerleaders – they believe Indiana should aways be supported – win or lose.  When asked to name their Mount Rushmore of favorite Hoosiers, they name Tim Priller, Matt Roth, Freddie McSwain, and Troy Williams after pondering and naming every other player they have ever seen in candy stripes.  They remain upset Tom Crean was fired while also being staunch supporters of Archie Miller.  Kelvin Sampson was railroaded for violations that are no longer against the rules, according to these nuts.  When reminded that Sampson’s violations were self-reported by Indiana, their eyes spin like pinwheels as they order another craft beer.

Contrarians – Third comes the sect that moans about all wins and sees the bright side of losses.  They enjoy arguing with resultists, who have the temerity to enjoy wins and voice disappointment with losses.  They differ from results in that they allow for good to be taken from losses, while the first group is always disappointed with anything but perfection, which is by definition impossible.

Indiana Cultists – Winning is not enough to them.  Indiana must win, sure, but with a primarily homegrown group.  And Indiana must while adhering to a standard of behavior that exists far beyond NCAA rules.  Oh, and all players must earn their degrees.  This group points to the Bob Knight Era as the high water mark, not just for Indiana Basketball, not just college sports, but athletics in total.  Knight always said that driving more than an hour and a half to recruit a point guard was a waste of time, so cultists believe it too.  Last week, they were made happy by Khristian Lander’s commitment, despite the 90 minute rule being made possible only because of the I-69 extension which has turned the drive from Evansville to Bloomington a mini-Cannonball run.

If you’re looking for a reason Indiana Basketball remains a popular topic of conversation despite mediocre results, dissension among its fans is a pretty good place to start.  Half of their fans believe Miller is the right coach.  Half believe Devonte Green’s good outweighs the bad.  Half believe Indiana needs to recruit its home state to win.  Half believe Assembly Hall is a basketball temple.  Half believe the Hoosiers will finally emerge from their competitive coma next year.

Passion drives arguments, and arguments drive passion.  When IU fans gather, they are usually one sentence from entering into a conversational wormhole.  Nice way to spend a night over buckets at Nick’s.

These are fascinating times for basketball fans in Bloomington because times are always fascinating to Indiana Basketball fans.

Indiana fans need to start focusing on progress under Archie Miller, rather than focus on each loss

IU fans might not be ready to return Archie Miller’s thumbs up, but the day might be coming.

Is Archie Miller doing a good job as Indiana’s basketball coach?

If you want to start a fight at a sports bar in central Indiana, drop that bomb at a table where someone is wearing red and white.

It’s not that IU fans are split as to whether Miller is doing a great job or a terrible job.  The debate is more nuanced than that.  This is about whether the current state of the program is all there is to look forward to.

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With Brad Underwood and Steve Pikiell elevating the level of Big 10 coaching to where they are all damn good, it’s harder than ever to build a successful program in America’s best conference.  And wait for Fred Hoiberg to get things rolling at Nebraska.

Being competent is not enough for a Big 10 program.  Coaches need to be outstanding just to tread water.  Is Miller good enough to help Indiana return to the national prominence fans have missed since the early 1990s – minus unexpected success in 2002?  That’s the question.

Miller’s three teams have shown some improvement.  Maybe it hasn’t come in the measure needed to warm the cockles of Hoosier faithful, but it’s there.  The records have improved bit by bit – from 16-15 to 19-16 to 18-10.  Ken Pomeroy has Indiana’s ranking over the last three years rising from #71 (10.44) to #52 (13.73) to #38 (15.30).

Those numbers are in ascension and that’s fine, but fans are concerned that Purdue’s rankings over those same three years with an ever-rotating roster have been #5, #9, and #25.  They are even more perturbed that Michigan State and Michigan are routinely in the top 10 while Indiana struggles to rank inside the top 50.

Indiana’s routine excellence more than a generation ago is not a distant memory for many alums.  Visions of banners being raised and trophies hoisted are so real, fans can almost touch them.  They see each year as the time all will return to normal and the Hoosiers standing among college basketball’s best will resume.  It make the last 18 seasons evaporate like some deranged dream, they believe.

So IU fans obsess over whether Miller is the right coach to lead the Hoosiers back from this coma of mediocrity.  They’ve been forced to sit patiently through wobbly efforts by Mike Davis and Tom Crean.  They cheered and then cringed during two years of on-court success and off-court buffoonery from Kelvin Sampson and his team.  So excuse them for clamoring a heaping helping of win be served to them RIGHT NOW.

Indiana fans are called impatient by those who believe the clock magically restarts every time a new coach is hired.  It doesn’t.  This clock began ticking during the final years of the Bob Knight era as the Hoosiers place as a blue blood began to wither.

Miller has not exactly delivered as a savior, but as we discussed earlier, the progress is undeniable if not satisfying.  Recruiting, especially in Indiana, has been reenergized.  The commitments of previous and soon-to-be Indiana All-Stars like Romeo Langford, Rob Phinisee, Damezi Anderson, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Armaan Franklin, Anthony Leal, Trey Galloway and Khristian Lander have shown Miller to be a man of his word when he promised to establish this state as his recruiting base.

There are other Indiana kids in the pipeline who might pledge IU.  The 2021 class is loaded with talent, and if Miller can net Caleb Furst and Trey Kaufman the Hoosiers might continue their climb past some Big 10 programs fans used to dismiss as trivial.

In the meantime, Indiana still has work to do this season.  Tomorrow’s challenge at Illinois could cement the Hoosiers return to the NCAA Tournament since 2016.  Even with a loss, IU can still score an invite by closing the regular season with home wins next week against Minnesota and Wisconsin.

Demanding calm from a group of fans who have deserved better from administrators, coaches, and players for the last quarter century is unreasonable, but if IU zealots can find a way to appreciate the slow and steady progress from Miller’s IU teams, it just might be rewarded this time.

Indiana Basketball’s loss to Purdue hurt, but all good results still on the table for Hoosiers

Archie and Bruiser yelling at each other last night might have been the most entertaining part of last night’s loss.

Indiana lost 57-49 to Purdue last night, so fans are again ready for John Beilein to take the reins of the basketball program from Archie Miller.

Prior to last night, fans had calmed themselves as IU had won three out of four and earned the commitment of five-star recruit Khristian Lander from Evansville Reitz.  They were ready to give Miller some time to continue his rebuild.

The sand in that hourglass drained as the clock hit 00:00 at Mackey Arena.

What a difference a terrible shooting night makes.  Fans lost their minds throughout the game and immediately after.  Twitter was filled with silly invective toward Archie Miller, Justin Smith and Devonte Green.  Hell, I added to it myself!

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It’s true that Indiana shot the ball like googly eyed fifth graders, hitting just 15 of their 59 shots,  and went more than 10 minutes without a field goal to end the first half and begin the second.  Miller and assistant coach Bruiser Flint were caught on camera barking at each other.  And the team frayed, as it often does when things go south.

That’s the current reality of Indiana Basketball.  When shots fall and things come easy, IU can beat anyone.  When the Hoosiers get uncomfortable, players wither from the challenge of competing, coaches get angry, and fans type furiously on Twitter.

Frustration among fans is driven by stretches when Indiana appears to be very competent, followed by others when it lacks toughness and execution.  Those opposing ranges of good and poor play can sometimes be found during the same game.  Against Penn State, IU got off to a 37-18 start, followed by a miserable second act when they were outscored 30-5.  The final stanza saw Indiana dominate the Nittany Lions 26-12.  Fans’ emotions careened from euphoric to incensed to pleased.

It’s hard to play comparatively well, especially on the road in the country’s best conference.  The opponents are on scholarship too, after all.  It’s especially tough when there are two clear factions on Indiana’s roster that do not operate in consistent harmony.  Let’s call them the Creans and the Archies.

The Creans have players former coach Tom Crean recruited based upon a specific set of criteria – athleticism, length, and potential.  The Archies caught Miller’s eye for different reasons – toughness, basketball IQ, ability to function within a unit, as well as athleticism and length.  Those opposing forces have yet to figure out how to play in consistent harmony, and fans sense their lack of cooperation.

Indiana is still right where reasonable people believed they would be with an 8-9 Big 10 record and three games to play.  Dominating the Big 10 was never in the cards for the Hoosiers no matter how quickly Trayce Jackson-Davis assimilated to the college game.  They still have a solid chance to finish 10-10 and earn a spot in the NCAA Tournament.  That was widely viewed as the best possible result when the season began.

Fans, being the nutty types they are, have exceptionally short memories.  After Indiana beat Penn State, some believed Indiana to be capable of winning out.  When Purdue beat Indiana last night, the same people voiced concern that the Hoosiers would not win another game this season.

According to Ken Pomeroy’s math, Indiana had a 32% chance of winning last night.  ESPN was even less confident in the Hoosiers, assessing their chance of victory at 25%.  Why anyone expected a win at Mackey is between he and his conscience.  Losing is a part of the reality for all teams, and it should be embraced as a necessary evil among fans too.

Of course it’s maddening to watch young men not take seriously their opportunity to compete, but that’s what many 18-22 year-olds do.  The regrets that come from not busting ass every second will drive their work ethic later in life.  That’s the magic of athletics, and one of the reasons participating is so great for kids.

Our own moments of competitive indifference are why we lose their minds.  Watching Justin Smith lope back on defense or Devonte Green take a bad shot early in the shot clock is galling in part because maybe we did the same as we competed in high school or college.  Because we gained wisdom as we became adults, we attack with fury instead of embrace with empathy.

Indiana still has everything it wanted at the beginning of the season right there in front of it.  Judging the season chapter by chapter will drive you crazy – and already has for many.

Take a deep breath.  Understand some lessons are hard earned for college students.  Watch the game Sunday at Illinois with the understanding that winning is a long shot (31.4%, according to ESPN and 33% for KenPom).  If you need to be a nut, yell at the TV – not on social media.

These Hoosiers are fragile enough without your insanity creeping into their news feeds.

Fox Sports Indiana will no longer be available on YouTube TV after February 29

There I was this afternoon at Hinkle Fieldhouse waiting for Butler’s practice to end so I can talk to a couple of players for my podcast, and I got the following email from YouTube TV:

That means no more Pacers Basketball on Fox Sports Indiana.  That means no more IHSAA State Championship programming.  That’s enough for me.  Adios, YouTube TV!

When we say goodbye to a content provider, we must say hello to another.

I switched to Hulu TV because they have all the sports programming I need, and it’s only $5 per month more. Plus, they have a deal with Marquee, so I get to watch Cubs baseball.

Easy beezy!

I’ll have an update on how Hulu works out during my free trial!

Philip Rivers to the Colts a fun rumor – but a terrible fit in reality

“Indy would be perfect for Philip Rivers.”  “From Bolts to Colts!”  “Rivers flowing to Indianapolis.”  We’ve heard it all during the first few days of rumor mongering at the NFL Scouting Combine.  None of it makes any sense.

The combination of media, agents, free time, and cocktails in Indianapolis causes the occasional odd rumor to gather momentum, and Rivers to the Colts is being repeated through the convention center like it’s a done deal.

Click here for your copy of “Oops – the Art of Learning from Mistakes and Adventures” by Kent Sterling

Colts GM Chris Ballard has been on the job for only three years, but there has not been one move or comment from Ballard during that time to suggest he would give serious consideration to making Rivers a serious offer to become a stop-gap starter while they groom a long-term replacement for the retired Andrew Luck.

National media embrace the rumor because it’s plausible for some surface reasons – Rivers is a free agent, the Colts are open to an upgrade at QB, the Colts have at least $86-million under the cap, and coach Frank Reich and offensive coordinator Nick Sirianni have both worked with Rivers before.  That’s the math that has led to Rivers signing with the Colts.

Here are six reasons Rivers to the Colts makes no sense:

  • Ballard didn’t build his bankroll by spending like Pacman Jones making it rain in Vegas.  He’s very cautious with Jim Irsay’s money, and Rivers is likely to cost $20-million per year.  Brissett’s cap hit for 2020 is $21,375,000, according to spotrac.  His dead cap number is $12,500,000.  Only one quarterback at a time can play.  The Colts would go from fiscally responsible at QB to utterly wasteful by signing Rivers and retaining or cutting Brissett.
  • Rivers is going to turn 39 during the 2020 season.  Drew Brees and theat other guy with six rings notwithstanding, NFL quarterbacks at that age are normally in decline.  Rivers’ performance took a step back in 2019, and that decline is very unlikely to reverse itself.
  • Colts goal is a championship.  While Rivers’ play was good enough to lead the Chargers to the playoffs six times, they never made the Super Bowl.  If the Colts wanted to sign Rivers as an Earl Morrall-esque back-up, that would be a fun fit.  But Rivers is in a financial position where carrying a clipboard while he misses his family for 22 weeks is unnecessary.
  • Twenty interceptions in 2019.  Evidence of Rivers decline is in his picks.  Some can be explained through the injuries to offensive linemen and resulting poor protection, but many were caused by Rivers.  That number of interceptions weren’t an anomaly for Rivers either.  In 2014 and 2016, Rivers threw it to the other guys 18 and 21 times respectively.  The Colts mantra under Ballard and coach Frank Reich is to take good care of the football and force turnovers on defense.  Rivers doesn’t fit their model.
  • Chargers have been mediocre for a decade with Rivers starting every game.  Over the last 10 seasons, the Chargers record has been 77-83.  Rivers has never missed a start over that period.
  • Rivers does not represent much of an upgrade over Jacoby Brissett.  Last season, Rivers had a passer rating of 88.5 and a QBR of 48.9.  Brissett’s passer rating was 88.0 and his QBR was 52.1.

Given any knowledge of Ballard’s operational thought process, signing Rivers is not a move he would not make.

There is another veteran QB option – an option that makes some sense – an option I cannot in good conscience name.  If Ballard wants to dig deep into his owner’s wallet to hire an old man as a stop-gap gunslinger, there’s a 43-year-old still playing at a really high level despite not having much in the way of weapons at his disposal last season.

That guy would be a definitive upgrade whose team won 12 games last year.  He might be worth whatever it would cost to sign him.

Rivers is not that guy – not close.

Recent great run for Archie Miller continues at Indiana as Khristian Lander commits

Khristian Lander pledging Indiana is the latest good news on Archie Miller’s recent roll.

The life of a coach isn’t about navigating high and low tides – it’s about surviving tsunamis and droughts.  The highs are stratospheric and the lows are seemingly bottomless abysses.

On February 8th, Indiana was reeling after losing their fourth straight, a 12-point loss to Purdue at Assembly Hall.  Bob Knight returned that day along with more than 40 of his former players.  Their presence brought into focus the stark contrast of the past and present of Indiana Basketball.

Rumors circulated that former Michigan coach John Beilein would be available after negotiating a separation with the Cleveland Cavaliers, and Indiana fans began to daydream about what might have been had former athletic director Rick Greenspan hired Beilein when he had the chance in 2006, and what might be if he replaced Archie Miller.

Click here for your copy of “Oops – the Art of Learning from Mistakes and Adventures” by Kent Sterling

Reasonable people understood Miller is going to be IU’s coach until the end of the 2021-2022 season at the minimum.  Outgoing AD Fred Glass is not going to replace Miller as his last act in Bloomington, and the new AD – whoever that is – is not going to pull the trigger on Miller before he figures out where Janko’s Little Zagreb is.

Indiana fans are not known for being reasonable, so talk about Beilein continued through a game at Michigan where Indiana was not competitive.  These were dark days for Miller, if he was paying any attention to the noise from fans and media.

Then things changed in a big way.  Prior to the loss at Michigan, the Hoosiers beat Iowa by 12.  After the loss to Michigan, just when it appeared Indiana would have trouble earning its way into the NCAA Tournament, the season changed with a road win at Minnesota followed by a home triumph over #9 Penn State.

Suddenly, the Indiana team that teetered on the brink of irrelevance, was 8-8 in the Big 10 with four games remaining.  All the talk about Beilein vanished along with Miller’s insistence in defending pick and rolls with hard hedges.  Fans stopped booing and message board threads calling for Miller’s head vanished.

Last night, Miller’s run of passes at the craps table of basketball got serious with the commitment of Khristian Lander of Evansville Reitz.  Lander is the #9 player and top point guard of the 2021 high school class.  He might decide to re-class to 2020 to become an incoming freshman this summer.  Whenever he comes to Bloomington, he will be the highest ranked point guard prospect in more than a generation to play at Indiana (Yogi Ferrell was ranked #21 in 2012).

When Miller was introduced as the successor to Tom Crean almost three years ago, he promised to recruit Indiana.  He’s done that, and continues to.  With another five Indiana high school juniors ranked in the top 100 nationally, recruiting by car rather than plane seems the right choice.

Like runs at the craps table, Indiana’s good fortune will turn too.  It’s a virtual certainly the Hoosiers aren’t done losing this year.  Tomorrow night’s game at Purdue will be a tough putt, and Illinois lurks in Champaign as IU’s last road opponent of the season on Sunday.  After two home games wrap the regular season, the Big 10 Tournament is next, and then either the NIT or NCAA Tournament.

With each game and recruit, there are opportunities to win and lose.  Miller’s hot streak followed a cold snap, and the cycle will continue.  It will drive fans crazy, but maybe that’s why we love college basketball as much as we do.

And if this season doesn’t end the way Indiana fans like, all five starters will return for 2020-2021.  Optimism will be rampant until the Hoosiers lose and then the sky will be falling – again.

Such is college basketball in Bloomington.

Colts news from Chris Ballard – Castonzo back; Brissett wobbly; Campbell working; WRs deep; Jordan Love being watched

Colts GM Chris Ballard had a lot to say today, but the most important concrete takeaway was the Anthony Castonzo will return.

Colts left tackle Anthony Castonzo will return for the 2020 season.  That was the headline of general manager Chris Ballard’s media availability today at the NFL Scouting Combine, and it’s a big headline.

To not have to worry about drafting a left tackle or signing one in free agency checks a massive box for a team with a few gaping holes in its roster.

The Colts need a quarterback – young or old – to compete with incumbent starter Jacoby Brissett.  Ballard said this about Brissett, “Still need to find out more. At the end of the day, when you go 7-9 you are going to shoulder a lot of the blame. Nature of the position.”  Reasonable assessment – Ballard is always honest and reasonable.

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They need a wide receiver or several to shore up a position that was thought to be a strength before injuries ravaged it in 2019.  Ballard said there is a lot of depth at the WR spot in this draft.  That likely translates to Ballard taking one outside the first couple of rounds.

Ballard acknowledged during his postseason media availability that a stud defensive tackle makes the defense go, so look for the Colts to address that position in free agency, the draft, or both.  There are two potentially spectacular candidates in the draft – Derrick Brown from Auburn and South Carolina’s Javon Kinlaw.  One of them may fall to #13 as Aaron Donald did in the 2014 Draft.

Of the quarterback position in this year’s draft, Ballard said, “I think it’s a good group. It’s got depth.”  If you take Ballard at his word, that means he will not be trading up to land one.  He’s not always transparent, but he’s not a big red herring guy, so I always believe him.

Ballard also said WR Parris Campbell has lived at the complex for the last two months preparing his body to bounce back from an injury riddled rookie campaign.  Campbell’s inability to play for long stretches robbed the offense of any dynamism it might have had otherwise.

He added that the time might be right to add a big name free agent.  Chiefs Defensive tackle Chris Jones would fit that profile very nicely.  The Chiefs would love to keep Jones, and will if they can address their limited cap situation before Jones hits the market.  Otherwise, the Colts with their $86-million to spend would make them a front-runner to grab the game-wrecker.

Utah State quarterback Jordan Love is a name that intrigues the Colts and their fans.  Today, when Love was asked if he’s tired of talking about his interceptions, he responded, “If I didn’t want to talk about 17 interceptions, I shouldn’t have thrown them.”  That answer alone moves him up my draft board.

Just because Castonzo is coming back doesn’t mean the Colts will ignore left tackles in free agency or the draft.  Ballard has often said building the offensive line is an ongoing process, and if Castonzo is only committed to one more season it’s reasonable to expect some moves toward evolving into a unit without him.

All in all, today was a good day for Ballard and fans.  A big box was checked, and the Colts have the draft equity and cap room to take shots at addressing the rest.

The free agency period and draft weekend will be fascinating as the Colts try to migrate from irrelevance  to dominance.  To get there, Ballard needs to be as good in signing and drafting over the next two months as he was at talking about it today.

Colts owner Jim Irsay hopes for Luck and Castonzo to return because he’s always hoping

Colts owner Jim Irsay spent some time with Indianapolis media yesterday, and he said interesting things, as he always does.

We never know what Irsay is going to say to the media because he doesn’t know either – at least I don’t think he knows.  On their best days, billionaires are a little quirky.  Irsay sometimes stretches that axiom to its limits.

He said two interesting things yesterday after talking about his family’s investment in helping those battling the disease of addiction.  The first was about retired quarterback Andrew Luck, “Andrew’s my friend and I miss my friend. I loved winning games with him. I loved seeing his happiness in the locker room. But right now, I know Frank has had dinner with him, Chris has had dinner with him. But I can’t comment on anything in terms of – will he ever come back? Is he coming back this year – next year? I don’t know. I haven’t asked him.

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“Right now, he’s doing the most honorable thing and the thing I would want him to do the most. He’s an excellent husband and a tremendous father to Lucy. To me that’s where we all start as men and women. We’ll see what happens.’’

It’s been awhile since any reasonable person pondered the prospect of Luck coming back, but after being prompted by Irsay, let’s talk about it.

If Luck decided to play again, which he won’t, why would the Colts trust that a comeback was in their best interest?  Luck left the team 15 days before the season opener in 2019.  What assurance could he provide that he’s serious about playing this time?

From Luck’s perspective, he’s too smart to double back because he’s healed.  Healing is the result of his decision to retire, not a reason to reverse course.

There is nothing wrong with Luck retiring to focus on family, but he left the Colts holding the bag.  A season was lost because of Luck’s decision.  Moving on is best for everyone, and that means addressing a shortfall at quarterback in free agency and/or the draft, not by hoping Luck returns.

Why Irsay entered into this “we’ll see what happens” area of speculation about Luck that will prompt talk for the remainder of the offseason is a great question.  What’s gained?  With Ballard and Reich speaking to the media tomorrow, his comment will certainly prompt additional unnecessary questions about Luck.

There would already have been questions for Ballard and Reich about left tackle Anthony Castonzo, who the Colts would love to have return for a 10th season.  Castonzo told the media after the season that he needs time to decide if he’s going to play again.

Irsay addressed that yesterday, “I haven’t talked to Anthony personally. But he’s a Pro Bowl left tackle and we want him to come back. I think there’s a strong likelihood that he will, but I think Chris will have more on that in the coming weeks.”

All I could hear as Irsay discussed his hope that Castonzo returns was his description of Luck’s biceps tendon being pristine.  That still echos in my head as a reminder of Irsay’s goodhearted and inaccurate pleadings.

Irsay is not a malevolent liar or sociopathic opportunist.  He’s just a hopeful guy accustomed to getting his way.  An underrated businessman, Irsay is used to finding a way to get people to say yes, and he has gotten into trouble for being incapable of saying no to himself and others.

His enthusiasm for what he wants doesn’t make Irsay a bad guy or clumsy owner, but it does cloud our ability to trust his words – and it should.

As the Colts approach an offseason that will either launch an era of winning or perpetuate mediocrity into another decade, I am much more interested in what Ballard says tomorrow than what Irsay said yesterday because he tells the truth.

The truth I trust.  Hope is for fools – and billionaires.