Author Archives: Kent Sterling

49ers ILB Aldon Smith Getting Help, and That’s a Good Thing

by Kent Sterling

Aldon Smith will begin learning about himself, and how football is only a part of who he is. Sadly, this may be the first time he's thought of himself in that way.

Aldon Smith will begin learning about himself, and how football is only a part of who he is. Sadly, this may be the first time he’s thought of himself in that way.

Of course, there was a problem.  Aldon Smith has been arrested twice for DUI in the last two years, is being sued by a party guest who was shot at his house, and has never shown the same ability to police his own activities as well as he gets after the opposing quarterbacks.

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Smith is being admitted today in an in-patient facility after playing poorly yesterday in a 27-7 loss to the Indianapolis Colts.  While he had a sack, that was the only play that he made an impact.  Smith has never had a game in his career where he didn’t notch at least one pressure, and after a total of 14 pressures and four sacks in the first two games, Smith was one play away from playing his worst game as a pro.

The 49ers have said that they believed it better for Smith psychologically to play yesterday.  That’s a convenient answer to a much more complex question.

Football is an important part of Smith’s life, and if he’s like many other men suffering from an addiction it’s likely the one place where he feels in control.  To play prior to leaving the team to try and get well may have been the thing the 49ers felt would be best for Smith.  Or, it may have been a position they talked themselves into embracing because Smith can have a massive effect on the result of a football game.

That he didn’t play well yesterday was a just result.

Smith’s apology shows he has some work to do, “First off, I wanted to apologize to the team, the organization, my family and everybody I let down,” he said. “I also wanted to let it be known that this is a problem and it’s something that I will get fixed, and that I’ll do everything in my power to make sure that this never happens again.”

First, an addiction is not a problem, it’s a disease, and it doesn’t get “fixed.”  Second, apologizing is fine, but moving on from the guilt associated with behavior resulting from the addiction is key to recovery.

The 49ers could have put their arms around Smith, told him that he is a human being first and a football player second, and walked him into rehab.  But anyone with even a passing understanding of the NFL understands that almost never happens.  There are very few coaches or executives with the basic decency to see their effect on people as similarly important as their ability to win games.  And that’s a shame.

The NFL is a business, and the players are incredibly valuable to their teams only when they are on the field, and Smith’s value to the 49ers and NFL as a human being will decrease immediately to zero once his effectiveness as a disruptive right outside linebacker ends.

If that wasn’t the case, former players would be granted health insurance for life, and depression and suicides among former players wouldn’t be an enormous problem.

What NFL players experience while a valuable commodity as active players isn’t real life.  It’s a bizarre system of enabling and exploitation with a reward system that is completely out of whack.  The players infer their treatment as proportional to their value as people.  When the gravy train ends, real life starts, and going from somebody special to nobody with the stroke of a pen is a cruel and sudden dose of reality.

Maybe through the work Smith does while focusing on his own development as a human being, he will be better prepared for the life he’ll live after the NFL exhausts his physical abilities and gifts.

That would be the best possible result.

In the meantime, the St. Louis Rams will prepare for a defanged pass rush this Thursday.

Indianapolis Colts Defy Experts and Flat Out Dominate San Francisco 49ers 27-7

by Kent Sterling

The Colts left horseshoe footprints on the backs of the San Francisco 49ers today.

The Colts left horseshoe footprints on the backs of the San Francisco 49ers today.

I’ve never had a hangover last three days.  Maybe 49ers linebacker Aldon Smith doesn’t process alcohol as quickly as most soon-to-be 23 year-olds.

The Colts coaching staff and front office has been making noise about becoming a power running team, and fans kind of scoffed at the thought.  Who in their right might would take the best young quarterback in football and render his greatest gift inert by forcing him to hand the ball off play after play?

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Head coach Chuck Pagano and offensive coordinator earned their money today by outcoaching the fans, and GM Ryan Grigson earned his cash by trading for former Cleveland Browns running back Trent Richardson, who split time with Ahmad Bradshaw in his debut.

Since the 1996 season, the Colts have run for more yards than they accounted for passing in only eight games prior to today – all wins.  Today, the Colts ran for 179 and Luck threw for 164.  The last loss for the Colts in a game when their running game out-gained its air attack was a wretched 16-6 affair in the Hoosier Dome on October 9, 1994 against the New York Jets.  Those who remember it wish they could forget.  Marshall Faulk, Jim Harbaugh, Roosevelt Potts, and Ronald Humphrey combined for 141 yards running, and Harbaugh threw for 95.  The Jets were similarly responsible for 130 yards rushing and 108 yards passing.

Today’s Colts win was an old fashioned ass kicking of what was thought to be a very good football team.  Bradshaw ran 19 times for 95 yards, and Richardson rumbled for 35 on his 13 carries.

The impressive part of the offensive bludgeoning came in the fourth quarter when the Colts took over at their own 20 nursing a 13-7 lead with 11:14 left.  They ripped through 12 play 7:01 drive that ended with a Luck bootleg from the 49ers six yard line.  The clock stopped twice on incompletions, but other than that it was death by a thousand paper cuts.  Richardson for no gain, Luck to T.Y. Hilton for eight, Luck to Darrius Hayward-Bey for seven, Bradshaw for one, Richardson for five, Richardson for one, Bradshaw for seven, Bradshaw for 27 (a big paper cut with a lemon squeezed into the wound), Bradshaw for eight, and Bradshaw for one before the Luck scamper.

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That took pressure off of the defense, which played superbly after the first quarter touchdown drive that tied the game 7-7.

I’m not sure the city of Indianapolis is going to be able to adjust to a team that excels at beating opponents by earning a lead and then grinding clock rather than enjoying the thrill of being behind and storming back behind a gun slinging quarterback.  If there is a personality that has affixed itself to the Colts, it’s that of a comeback team.  That goes all the way back to when 49ers coach Jim Harbaugh was Captain Comeback from 1994-1997.

The defense was excellent as the 49ers played without Vernon Davis, who is nursing a hamstring, and Mario Manningham and Michael Crabtree – both on the PUP list – but I’m not sure any or all would have made any difference today.  The Colts looked fast, and other than a couple of passive efforts at tackling in the first half, the Colts hit what they aimed at and brought down ball carriers before they could do much damage.

The next big thing, Colin Kaepernick, whose bust for Canton is already being carved by the media was 13-27 for 150 yards, and those much ballyhooed wheels netted 20 yards on seven carries.  The Colts sacked him three times, and had him penned in throughout (if I were the Rams, who play the 49ers on Thursday, I would spend a lot more time studying the Colts vs. 49ers tape than their own video from today’s debacle against the Cowboys).

This was the kind of overall team win that rarely happens in the star driven NFL.  This game wasn’t about making Sportscenter’s Top Ten, but grinding every single play, maintaining discipline, and being one of 11 doing his job well each play.

After a very disappointing loss to the Miami Dolphins, the Colts looked like a very good team today, proving doubters wrong, and spending nitwits scrambling to heap praise upon them now that they played their most complete game against a well-respected team since 2009.

Last week, the Colts were the worst, and today they were the best.  Next week, we’ll see how they play against the Jaguars.

The nine games including today – all wins – since 1996 that saw the Colts running game out gain their passing attack:

  • 9/23/96 vs. Miami – 171 yards rushing; 106 yards passing
  • 11/17/96 vs. NY Jets – 152 yards rushing; 151 yards passing
  • 12/7/97 @NY Jets – 193 yards rushing; 173 yards passing
  • 11/21/04 @ Chicago – 275 yards rushing; 211 yards passing
  • 11/26/06 vs. Philadelphia – 237 yards rushing; 183 yards passing
  • 9/30/07 vs. Denver – 226 yards rushing; 193 yards passing
  • 12/26/10 @ Oakland – 191 yards rushing; 179 yards passing
  • 12/18/11 vs. Tennessee – 205 yards rushing; 82 yards passing
  • 9/22/13 @ San Francisco – 179 yards rushing; 164 yards passing

Indianapolis Colts – Five Reasons the Colts Can Beat the 49ers, and Five Reasons tThey Can’t

by Kent Sterling

Aldon Smith (right) will try to find yet another reason to host a party today at Candlestick Park against the Indianapolis Colts.

Aldon Smith (right) will try to find yet another reason to host a party today at Candlestick Park against the Indianapolis Colts.

The Indianapolis Colts are preparing for a stiff challenge this afternoon in San Francisco, as the 49ers are still smarting after being waxed last weekend by the Seattle Seahawks.

The 49ers turned the ball over five times in Seattle, and had trouble running the ball in any traditional way.  Running back Frank Gore has been less that impressive through two games of the 2013 season with 60 yards and 30 carries.

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Defensive pocket wrecker Aldon Smith gave his liver a workout Thursday night and Friday morning, but is ready to go after resting in lockup after being arrested for suspicion of drunk driving and possession of marijuana.

The 49ers are very talented and productive on both sides of the ball, and they will not doubt be on an emotional edge as the game begins in an hour.

There is a lot more good than bad for the 49ers headed into this game, but the Colts have as many reasons for optimism as pessimism.

Five Reasons the Niners can find a way to lose, without mentioning Andrew Luck

  • Frank Gore is old at 30.  In his first two games, Gore has 30 carries for 60 yards.  He’s also carried the ball a bunch, ranking fifth among all running backs in history to olay with one team.  The others?  Walter Payton, Barry Sanders, Jim Brown, and Tiki Barber.
  • Kaepernick has started nine game, and played in 18.  Alex Smith beat him out as the starter last season.  He may wind up being a hall of famer, but he isn’t there yet.  In the opener, he had his best statistical game, and in the second, he had his worst.  50-50 he sucks tomorrow?
  • Vernon Davis is questionable, and without him at full strength they have one reliable receiver, Anquan Boldin,  who is 33.
  • Seattle exposed several weaknesses and forced five turnovers.  The Colts have watched exactly what happened, and will try to deliver the same misery.
  • Eric Reid is questionable with a concussion.  If he sits, Craig Dahl could be the next man up.  Dahl couldn’t cover me in my front yard.  He can be a hard hitting run stopper, but was beaten over the top so often in St. Louis the last two years, he still sees a counselor twice a week.  He’s expected to play, but concussion symptoms can recur.

Five Reasons the Niners can beat the Colts

  • They are angry.  Being humiliated stings, and the 29-3 loss in Seattle qualifies as humiliating.  The 49 ers will look to bounce back.
  • Trent Richardson doesn’t know the playbook yet and will be limited tomorrow.
  • LaRon Landry is out, Angerer is doubtful. That leaves the Colts thin at safety and ILB.
  • Kaepernick is more elusive than Terrelle Pryor and the Colts are still having nightmares about Pryor keeping the sticks moving.
  • Aldon Smith will have sobered up by Sunday, and he is tops in the league in pass rush efficiency among outside linebackers in a 3-4.

This smells like an ugly game for the Colts, but with Andrew Luck under center, the Colts always have a chance.  They were prone to blowouts last season – five of their six losses were by at least 12 points, and three were by 20 or better.

Anything can happen on Sunday, so Colts fans can watch and hope for luck and Luck.

Indiana Basketball – Robert Johnson’s AAU Coach Tells All About Tom Crean’s Latest Recruit

by Kent Sterling

Robert Johnson's AAU coach says he's a great player and better kid.

Robert Johnson’s AAU coach says he’s a great player and better kid.

If you want to know about how a kid who played for the Boo Williams summer program will fit into a college basketball program, there is no one better to ask than America’s most famous summer coach – Boo Williams himself.

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Williams coached the 6’3″ shooting guard who pledged Indiana yesterday, and he spent ten minutes talking about Johnson’s game, his potential, the IU program, and college basketball with me this morning on “Ahead of the Curve” on 1070 the Fan.

There are those who believe summer basketball is the scourge of the system that sends high scool kids to colleges, and dislike Williams as a result.  I am not among them.  If Williams is a problem in the development of players, that the system is topian.

I like Boo, and no one knows more about Johnson than he does.  If you are an Indiana fan, you’ll love what he has to say.  If you aren’t, the glowing review won’t thrill you.

That’s not all Williams talks about.  I asked him about the national rep of the IU program, and the one thing he would fix in college basketball if he had the chance.  He and I are in total agreement there.

Ron Howard, Danny Granger, Tevin Coleman, and Boo Williams Join Hagan and Sterling on 1070 the Fan from 11a-1p

by Kent Sterling

UnknownIf you are going to punch 1070 AM or 107.5 FM on your radio, you want to listen to something worthwhile, and that is what he work hard to provide each week.

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Today’s guests are as good as it gets, and we’ve worked all week to be able to provide the insight you deserve for two hours.

Tom Crean got his first real commitment yesterday in rising star Robert Johnson.  What we know about Johnson is that he’s ranked #42 by Rivals, is 6’3″ 180 lbs., really blew up in July, and never misses a shot in his highlight reels.  The guy who knows his game best is his AAU coach, and Boo Williams will join us at 11:15a to talk about what Johnson saw in the Hoosiers to earn his commitment over North Carolina, Florida State, and Virginia.

Ron Howard is the director of some of the most entertaining movies of the last 30 years, and his most recent effort is all about F-1 racing.  “Rush” will be in theaters soon, but Howard will be on Ahead of the Curve to talk about that film and commiserate with Chris Hagan about the challenges of their red-headedness.

Danny Granger is one of the most interesting stories of the Pacers this offseason.  They went to Game Seven of the Eastern Conference Finals without him three months ago, and now people are hoping that a healthy Granger can give the Pacers the depth needed to earn the top seed in the East.  We’ll talk to Granger about the upcoming season, Frank Vogel, Lance Stephenson, and his work to educate people about a disease that has impacted several members of his family.

Indiana is 2-1 early in the 2013 season with a big game against Missouri looming tonight.  The Tigers are led by quarterback James Franklin and receiver Dorial Green-Beckham, but the Hoosiers will counter with QB Nate Sudfeld, tight end Ted Bolser, a deep receiving corps, and one of the most explosive backs in America.  Tevin Coleman will talk about why he chose the Hoosiers, and how much fun it is to be that damn fast.

Chris Hagan will join us live from San Francisco, as he waits to cover the Colts vs. 49ers game tomorrow.

Ahead of the Curve is the best two hours of my week, and we hope you enjoy it.

Aldon Smith Arrested; Up to Harbaugh Whether He Plays, and Decision Will Send Message to America’s Youth

by Kent Sterling

This is the mugshot of Aldon Smith following his first arrest for DUI less than two years ago.

This is the mugshot of Aldon Smith following his first arrest for DUI less than two years ago.

Engrained in uniquely talented athletes from the time they are in middle school is that the rules that govern society don’t apply to them.  Life has no black and white for game-changing athletes – only shades of gray where greatness may continue to be tapped by a coach who values wins over all else.

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That is the reason Aldon Smith will be allowed to suit up and raise hell against the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday two days after being arrested for drunk driving and marijuana possession.

This isn’t Smith’s first entanglement with the legal system.  He was also arrested for DUI in January, 2012.  Six months later Smith was stabbed at a party he hosted, and according to California Highway Patrol was a passenger in a vehicle that rolled over near his home.  Smith is also being sued for shooting a party guest.  He is accused of shooting a guest accidentally when he fired to signal the end of the party.

Smith’s DUI this morning (he was arrested at 7:00 a.m. after crashing his pickup into a tree) is the fifth in the last three years for the 49ers.

Whatever efforts of remediation have been taken by the 49ers obviously haven’t worked, as Smith continues to behave as though the rules that keep our society from breaking at the seams do not apply to him.  There is good reason for that – none of the consequences have been meaningful enough to cause a change in his behavior.

It was no surprise when 49ers coach Jim Harbaugh told reporters today that he expects Smith to play because in the NFL, talent wins, and winning trumps everything.  So the talented Smith will play as he always has, and then do whatever he likes because he has been taught that rules don’t apply to him.

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People wonder how some NFL players become train wrecks after their playing days are over.  The sad plight of Smith is a good example of the mess that can be created by authority figures who refuse to hold people accountable for aberrant behavior.  When his talents abandon him, and he is held to the same standard as everyone else, expect another in a long line of disasters.

Smith’s saving grace might be that the NFL can respond to the second arrest by suspending Smith.

When the St. Louis Rams visited San Francisco last season receiver Chris Givens, cornerback Janoris Jenkins, and defensive tackle Kellen Heard committed a victimless behavioral lapse that troubled coach Jeff Fisher.  Givens and Jenkins – two exceptionally valuable cogs in the Rams machine – were immediately suspended for the 49ers game, and Heard was cut.  This was a huge game for the Rams, and it ended in a tie.

Fisher acted decisively in a way that penalized his team, but will benefit Givens and Jenkins forever.

To this point, Harbaugh has shown a complete indifference to Smith as a young man, while prizing his value as an outside linebacker.

It’s not Harbaugh’s job as a coach to mentor his players, but it is his responsibility as a man to help a soon to be 24 year-old who appears to be navigating poorly through the slalom course of life as a professional athlete.

Indiana Basketball – Robert Johnson Choose Indiana; Okonoboh Next?

by Kent Sterling

Robert Johnson crossed over the Tar Heels, and drove to Indiana.

Robert Johnson crossed over the Tar Heels, and drove to Indiana.

The 2014 class is no longer vacant for Indiana.  With two scholarships to give, Indiana was left hoping a couple of top recruits would pledge Indiana, and one of them has.

Robert Johnson from Benedictine College Prep is 6’3″ and can flat out shoot, and can get to the bucket.

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He is ranked just outside ESPN’s top 100, but #42 on rivals.  Rankings are virtually meaningless, as Indiana fans learned with Victor Oladipo who turned his #144 in the high school class of 2010 into the second player taken overall in the 2013 NBA Draft.

What’s it all mean?  Other than a well thought of kid choosing Indiana is better than his choosing another top program must be a positive, who knows?  He chose Bloomington over Chapel Hill, so Crean and the Indiana athletic department must be doing a lot of very good things.

That leaves Tom Crean with one spot open, but as when saw last year, he is not adverse to over-signing.  The most likely commitment to fall next to Indiana is Goodluck Okonoboh, who visited Bloomington last weekend.  He’s a very athletic 6’9″ power forward, who is a good friend of IU freshman Noah Vonleh.

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One thing that can be said about Crean is that he tends to recruit kids who are effective ambassadors for spreading the Hoosier gospel, and Vonleh working Okonoboh will doubtless provide an advantage.

There are other candidates for the other scholarship, including James Blackmon who decommitted to open that second spot.  It’s doubtful Blackmon will want to compete with Johnson, or that Johnson would have passed on North Carolina if there was a great chance Blackmon might choose Indiana.

Devin Robinson is a long and athletic wing who is also considering Florida, Notre Dame, Connecticut, and Oklahoma State.  He’s a little skinny, but so was Vonleh, and now look at the kid.

A class of Johnson, Okonoboh, adn Robinson would be a trio of late commitment home runs for the Hoosiers.

With talk that Vonleh may be a candidate to exit early for the NBA, Robinson might be an excellent candidate as a replacement in that spot.

Punk Kids with AWOL Parents Cause $20K in Damage to Former NFL Player’s Home

by Kent Sterling

Idiots destroy a house.  Brian Holloway is trying to hold them accountable.

Idiots self-chonicle the destruction of a house. Brian Holloway is trying to hold them accountable.

There is nothing sadder than kids of wealthy parents who are left to raise themselves.  The parents buy the kids all kinds of crap, but refuse to give them the greatest gift of all – boundaries.

So the kids lose their minds, make mistakes of self-indulgence, and when someone tries to bring a strong consequence to bear, the parents lose their minds and shield the kids from any penalty because the punishment would require an admission that their skills in raising children is lacking.

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On August 31st, an estimated 300 teenagers broke into former NFL offensive lineman Brian Holloway’s house in Stephentown, NY, and hosted a party that tweets from the kids described as “bangin.'”  Holloway and his family were in Florida and the house was unoccupied at the time of the party.  They tore the house apart by breaking windows, drenching carpet in beer and liquor, punching holes in walls, dragging kegs across hardwood floors, and spray painting graffiti on exposed beams and wood paneling.

Holloway struck back by launching a website, helpmesave300.com, which details the damages, posts the tweets of the morons too stupid to avoid admitting their part in a crime via social media, and calls for parents to step up to do the disciplinary work their kids might not desire but absolutely need.

Parents and kids are asked to show up to help return the house to normal prior to a picnic that Holloway is hosting tomorrow to honor veterans, military personnel, and their families.  So far, one parent has shown up.

Worse, several parents have threatened to sue Holloway for exposing their children on the website.  Holloway has deleted a list of the names of the people he was able to determine were at the party, but the tweets that detail the wanton idiocy remain.

The parents who would threaten to sue are the lowest of the low.  There are drug addled parents in our society who ignore the needs of their children because of addiction.  It’s tragic, as children suffer because a disease makes responsibility impossible.  What goes on with these parents is worse because they choose not to pay attention – to take their kids word as gospel, and not hold them accountable for their actions.  Their priorities are selfish, and the kids parent themselves.

It’s a tragedy that these kids, and they aren’t just in Stephentown but virtually everywhere, are going to be released into the wild of adulthood with no earthly idea what real life is like.  They will drift and wobble searching for the next fun thing because they don’t realize how fulfilling it is to accomplish something.

And then they will marry, procreate, and wreck yet another generation of children.  And on and on it will go.

Go to Holloway’s website where you can read both the wisdom and decency of Holloway, and then peruse the ridiculous tweets from the kids who busted up his house.  Make a donation, but not to help defray the cost of the damage because that’s not what Holloway wants.  What he would prefer is a donation to Making Strides Against Breast Cancer.

Only two things I would change in Hollway’s approach to dealing with what the teens and parents clearly see as harmless mischief are that I would gleefully press charges.  If convictions keep any of them from being accepted into the college of their choice, that’s called a consequence, and that’s what happens when you act without regard to another person’s property.  Those parents, (minus the one that showed up to help clean), can’t be trusted to make this a learning moment for the kids.

Holloway writes on his website that lives are at stake, and he’s right.  The parents who raised these idiots to this point can’t be trusted to start raising them right today.  Let the law enforcement community take over.  That’s why they are there.

And if parents threaten to sue, I would tell them to pack a damn lunch.  See you in court, you self-immersed jags!  I would count the days until I got to see them in a courtroom.

The best thing a parent can provide a child is meaningful consequence for each mistake.  That Holloway appears to be the only adult doing the right thing in Stephenstown is a tragedy.  By getting away with a total disregard for the property of others, the kids are learning a lesson that will cause them nothing but pain down the road.

At some point, Daddy and Mommy won’t be there to make it all better.  Hopefully, this is it.

Indianapolis Colts – Mel Kiper Loves the Richardson Trade – for the Cleveland Browns

by Kent Sterling

Mel Kiper "love" the Browns end of the Trent Richardson trade.

Mel Kiper “love” the Browns end of the Trent Richardson trade.

Indianapolis Colts GM Ryan Grigson must feel a little like Bill Tobin did almost 20 years ago when ESPN’s Mel Kiper ripped Tobin and the Colts for drafting Nebraska linebacker Trev Alberts.  The two situations aren’t really similar, but the argument between Tobin and Kiper is one of my favorite all-time draft moments.

That Alberts first proved Kiper right by questioning why he was taken fifth overall went a long way toward validating Kiper’s perspective, and the rest of that validation came from Alberts poor play.

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Today, Kiper wasn’t quite so outspoken in assessing the relative merits of the trade for the Colts and Browns.  While he claims to “understand” why the Colts jettisoned a first-rounder for a good player at a position where replaceability is almost a given, he “loves” the trade for the Browns.

Kiper says about the Colts, “The Colts are looking to establish a power run game to complement and protect a great quarterback. They want to become more multiple. But they’re doing that because they have that great quarterback. A healthy Richardson has far more value to them than he does to the Browns.”

A little more damning is this comment from Kiper, “I’m surprised a team (the Browns) could get a first-rounder for any running back, much less one with any recent injury issues.”

About the Browns, Kiper was effusive, “It’s a great move for the Browns, who just got a ton of value for a player they couldn’t maximize anyway.”

The overall reviews for the trade are relatively positive from the national experts as many claim the deal is a win-win.  The local reaction in Cleveland has been incredibly negative, but that’s because the Browns have picked the rebuilding scab again and again.  The scar is ugly, and the bleeding may never stop.  People in Cleveland are already an ill-tempered lot, and Browns management waving a white flag two games into a season makes season ticket holders feel like idiots for spending hard-earned cash.

Funny how people don’t enjoy looking in the mirror and seeing what they have been told or shown is a moron stare back.

It’s a little like buying a car that craps out after two weeks, and when you talk to the people at the dealership, they guy says, “Oh yeah, those cars are junk.”  That behavior doesn’t encourage return business.

If Kiper is right, as he often is, Browns fans will be very happy in three or four years, but that doesn’t make them feel any better today.  If the Browns want a bit of a preview of where they might be headed, the St. Louis Rams are on a similar arc, just a couple of years ahead.

As for the Colts, they got a running back who just turned 22, and is on the upside of a career likely to last until he turns 30.  The Colts passing offense is good enough that no one is going to throw eight in the box to stop Richardson.  Vick Ballard, the 11th back taken in the 2012 NFL Draft, rushed for 3.9 yards per carry last season for the Colts, so Richardson should be good for a minimum of 4.0 as the 3rd overall pick in the same draft.

Richardson has been playing against the Bengals, Steelers, and Ravens twice each as a member of a team in the AFC North.  With the Colts, he’ll find the AFC South defenses of the Jaguars and Titans a little more to his liking.  The Texans might be an AFC North-esque challenge.

The Colts found a piece they needed to remain competitive in a place where he didn’t fit.  This was similar to the trade with the Miami Dolphins last year that swapped a second rounder for cornerback Vontae Davis.  The real question is whether there will be someone on the board at 20-24 who Grigson would covet more than Richardson.  Because he pulled the trigger, I’m guessing he doesn’t anticipate that happening.

Kiper as the draftnik that he is, of course sees the advantage to the Browns as potential always fascinates him more than reality, but the key is where the pick slots, and what Browns GM Michael Lombardi chooses to do with it.

Indianapolis Colts vs. San Francisco 49ers Preview – Throw Out the Video, and Expect the Real 49ers to Show Up

by Kent Sterling

The Colts need to hope all that ink weighs down the very athletic Colin Kaepernick.

The Colts need to hope all that ink weighs down the very athletic Colin Kaepernick.

There are so many question marks about the 49ers vs. Colts game that it defies analysis.  The Colts acquired running back Trent Richardson from the Cleveland Browns less than 24 hours ago, and the 49ers have played well once in beating the Packers at home and poorly the second in Seattle.  Will Richardson be a factor in San Francisco, and which 49ers team will show up at Candlestick Park Sunday?

Richardson is unlikely to be much of a factor, as he is unlikely to have enough time to digest much of the playbook or become comfortable with his new teammates and scheme.

Colts fans should expect to see a team vastly different from what showed up Sunday night in Seattle when the Seahawks pounded the Niners 29-3.

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The 49ers are profoundly talented, led by the left side of their offensive line.  Guard Mike Iupati and Tackle Joe Staley are elite level players, and the right side isn’t bad either with guard Alex Boone and Anthony Davis.  None played well against the Seahawks, and the offense turned the ball over five times.

Colin Kaepernick had his worst day as a pro following his best in the opener.  Against Green Bay, Kaepernick was 27-39 for 412 yards and 3 TDs and 0 picks.  Against the Seahawks, Kaepernick was 13-28 and 127 yards with 0 TDs and three picks.  Will the real Colin Kaepernick please stand up, please stand up?  (Is paraphrasing Eminem lyrics as completely stale as I think it is?)

Seattle is an absolutely miserable place for opponents to play.  The stadium was built to funnel the crowd noise down to the field.  People accused Bill Polian of pumping noise into the old RCA Dome in Indianapolis, but that isn’t necessary in Seattle.  It’s the loudest I have ever heard a crowd – disconcertingly loud.  The environment will obviously be much more conducive in San Francisco to operating a functional offense for the 49ers.

While the running backs for the Dolphins weren’t much to worry about last week for the Colts, the 49ers Frank Gore is a different challenge.  Gore has had two very difficult games, and will look to get well against the Colts.  Through his six previous seasons, Gore has been incredibly consistent, averaging between 15 and 18.5 carries per game, between 73.5 and 80 yards per game, and between 4.2 and 4.9 yards per carry.  His receptions have diminished over the last couple of seasons, but it’s the 60 yards on 30 carries combined in weeks one and two that will see a correction Sunday.

Defensively, the 49ers are scary in spots.  Alden and Justin Smith are disruptive on the right side, and Patrick Willis is a likely hall of famer in the prime of his career.  The safeties are a weakness, but that doesn’t do the Colts much good if they can’t block the front seven on runs, or keep Andrew Luck on his feet long enough for the receivers to get to that level of coverage.

The 49ers aren’t the second coming of the 2003 New England Patriots, but with Kaepernick able to create offense out of positive plays by the defense, they are a tough beat – especially at home.

The Colts are a complete mystery going into Sunday, and with three players being ruled out for the season within the last week, plus the acquisition of Richardson, if there was ever going to be a game where they might throw up a total nightmare of an confused effort, this could be it.

On the plus side, this was a game that very few circled as a win for the Colts.  Even those optimistic enough to see this as a potential 12-4 season had this game as a loss.  To have this many question marks against the Rams or the Seahawks could cause a loss where a win might otherwise have been earned.

Logic would dictate that a team unable to beat the Dolphins on their home turf will have a very tough time competing against a group that went to the Super Bowl nine months ago.

There is a reason for optimism.  With Mario Manningham and Michael Crabtree on the shelf, the receiving corps is weak.  Anquan Boldin is 33 years old but still productive with 14 catches and 215 yards through the first two games.  Tight end Vernon Davis is pretty good too, but the rest of the group is weak and weaker.

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The Colts have a quarterback who is at least the equal of Kaepernick, and his targets are superior.  But this game will come down the the line play.  The more I’ve learned about football, the more I’ve written or said that.

I think the stars are lined up for a Colts train wreck, but Luck is such a dynamic performer that he might find a way to climb into the engine of that runaway locomotive to hit the brakes.  As a last ditch hope to find external reasons for hope, I checked the weather forecast.  Weather is supposed to be ideal, although a little windy.  Too bad.

The 49ers are 10-point favorites, and they will come out angry after being embarrassed in Seattle, and take it out on the Colts.  Jerry Tarkanian famously said, “the NCAA is so mad at Kentucky, it will probably slap another two years’ probation on Cleveland State.”  That will sum up what happens in San Francisco.  The 49ers are so pissed at the Seahawks, they will going to make the Colts pay.

49ers over Colts, 37-13