Author Archives: Kent Sterling

After fourth humiliation of last 12 months, it might be time for Bill Self to let someone else run Kansas Basketball

KU forward Silvio De Sousa is shown ready to bring a stool down on the head of an opponent during last night’s brawl in the latest of a series of sordid affairs in Bill Self’s program.

When things go bad, they tend to go bad in bunches.  That axiom has never been truer than for Kansas Basketball over the past 12 months.

Basketball programs and businesses are like planets circle a star.  As orbits erode, they become more erratic.  Order is never restored. (Who says I didn’t pay attention during Astronomy?)

Coach Bill Self was thought to be impervious during the previous 15 seasons.  His Jawhawks won an incredible 14 straight Big 12 championships, an NCAA title, eight conference tourney titles, and four Final Fours.  He’s not imperious now.

Click here for your copy of “Oops – the Art of Learning from Mistakes and Adventures” by Kent Sterling

Last season marked the first season the Jayhawks finished anywhere other than atop the Big 12 since 2003-2004.  Then the NCAA got involved as a federal trial opened the door for incriminating transcripts of texts between a shoe guy and Self to be entered into evidence.  The result was a notice of allegations that included –  lack of institutional control, three Level 1 violations, and a head coach responsibility charge against Self.

Then Kansas went rogue with its “Late Night in the Phog” celebration to kick of the season.  Snoop Dogg performed as anyone with a brain would expect.  There were dancers on stripper polls and extreme profanity, which left the university unnecessarily embarrassed and apologetic.

Last night saw a college basketball brawl the likes of which we have been spared since the Cincinnati vs. Xavier game in 2011.  At the very end of the Kansas vs. Kansas State game, forward Silvio De Sousa blocked the layup of a K-State player and then stood over him in front of the K-State bench.  Players ran onto the floor, threw punches, De Sousa lifted a stool over his head and looked ready to bring it down upon a K-State player with great vengeance and furious anger before it was grabbed by a curtsied photographer.

Oh yeah, the entire brawl was in the area where physically challenge fans watch the game.

De Sousa has been suspended indefinitely pending a university investigation.  Not sure what part of the brawl requires an inspection of the facts.  The entire fracas was broadcast live and has been shown 100s of times on the ESPN family of networks.

In the midst of these four very public sidesteps from their typical excellence have been other minor departures from reason, like KU’s refusal to share the findings of an internal investigation the supposedly exonerates Self and the program.  Why refuse to share good news?  Many suspect that reports of good news are being made to kick the can down the road until the NCAA finally levies inevitable sanctions against the program and Self.

Kansas Basketball appears to be in the process of self-immolating.  There is a time at which coaches either lose interest in recruiting players who can be controlled – or when they decide holding them accountable for small indiscretions is someone else’s responsibility.  Before you know it, those small issues become big ones – like brawls.

Self is unquestionably one of the most successful coaches of his generation, but his program has devolved into unpredictable chaos.  Last night’s brawl was the latest evidence that KU’s orbit of the NCAA has eroded to the point that more mayhem is not just likely but certain.

Self has made millions and millions of dollars at Kansas.  The time may have come for him to exit with his dignity left mostly intact and spend some of it.  The alternative is for him to become the latest victim of the type of hubris that ended Rick Pitino’s career at Louisville.

Indiana Basketball fans having a tougher time disliking opposing Big 10 coaches like Illinois Brad Underwood

If Illini coach Brad Underwood wasn’t so damn likable, it would easier to mock him for looking like Murph from the old 76 Gas Station commercials.

When I was a college student at Indiana, half the fun of being a basketball fan was disliking opposing coaches, and the Big 10 during that era was full of coaches that were easy to dislike.

Bill Frieder (Michigan), Lou Henson (Illinois), Eldon Miller (Ohio State), Dr. Tom Davis (Iowa) and Gene Keady (do I need to specify his school?) were despised in Bloomington, and it was fun.  They were villainous buffoons in our very Indiana-centric view of basketball.

None of the dislike was serious.  I mean, who could possibly dislike Keady?  He’s one of the nicest guys on the planet.  He was like the Joker to Bob Knight’s Batman.

It’s fun to see opponents as enemies, and coaches are the faces of the rival programs.

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That fun is becoming more and more difficult for Indiana fans.  First of all, back in the 1980s and 1990s Knight did a wonderful job of disparaging opposing coaches, so we defined them for the flaws Knight fed to us.  Excuse the language, but Indiana fans referred to Michigan’s coach as Bill “Chicken Shit” Frieder because Knight did.  And we always will.

Today, not only don’t we have Knight’s help in mocking opponents, we have Big 10 coaches who are almost impossible to loathe.  Ohio State’s Chris Holtmann is a great guy – competitive, smart, and honorable.  Wisconsin’s Greg Gard is transparent and self-effacing.  Michigan State’s Tom Izzo is competitive, earnest, and a guy you would love your son to play for.  Nebraska’s Fred Hoiberg is calm, smart, and relentless.

How about Matt Painter at Purdue?  Who cannot respect Painter?  He’s a basketball junkie and nice guy so good at coaching toughness, he wins conference championships despite an almost total lack of five star recruits.

I could go on.

I held out hope that Illinois’ Brad Underwood would be someone I could at least mock, if not detest.  Illinois has a history of hiring the occasional oddball as coach, so maybe Underwood would be the latest easily jeered coach.  Sadly, watching Illinois throttle Purdue last night, I saw two things that will forever define Underwood as likable and impossible to ridicule.

The first was his reaction to Illinois guard Alan Griffin being tossed from the game midway through the first half for intentionally stepping on the chest of Boilermaker Sasha Stefanovic.  When the refs told Underwood Griffin was done, he turned to Griffin to tell him to leave the floor.  There was no feigned outrage or histrionics.  Underwood understood his player screwed up and was being held accountable.

Then, ESPN analyst Dan Dakich briefly interviewed Underwood.  He first asked what Underwood would be doing if he wasn’t coaching.  “Playing golf,” was the answer.  Yep.  Me too.  Dan then asked Underwood for his favorite movie and TV show.  “Caddyshack and Seinfeld,”  Underwood said.  Yep and yep.

How can I dislike a guy with such impeccable taste in movies and TV?  I will always root for IU against Illinois, but I can’t experience the joy of hoping for Illinois to lose as I did when they were led by Henson or Bruce Weber.

I’m not a tremendous fan of Minnesota’s Richard Pitino or Iowa’s Fran McCaffery, but neither rises to the level of a true annoyance because their programs hover in the middle of the Big 10. Coaches need to be more successful than Pitino and McCaffery to earn my ire regardless of their annoying bench behavior.

It’s hard for Indiana fans who remember the days of Big 10 dominance to wrap their arms around a conference where they have no reason nor authority to mock opposing coaches.  But it might be even harder to admit that the Big 10 might not just be the best coached, but also the conference with the most likable coaches.

When Colts QB Andrew Luck married Nicole, retirement from football suddenly made sense

When it was only Andrew Luck’s decision to play football or not, he could afford to take chances. As Nicole’s husband, the metrics changed.

A lot of time and energy has been spent dissecting Colts quarterback Andrew Luck’s decision to retire from the NFL.

Why did he pull the plug on a career 15 days before the beginning of the 2019 regular season?  His team was seen as a Super Bowl contender before he pulled the plug.  The Colts had a top flight offensive line in front of him, a coach that knew how to utilize his gifts, and weapons to utilize.  Everything had come together for the top pick of the 2012 NFL Draft until he shocked us with his seemingly sudden retirement

Click here for your copy of “Oops – the Art of Learning from Mistakes and Adventures” by Kent Sterling

Not surprisingly, Luck has been tight-lipped about his decision and post-NFL life.  There has been no 5,000 word opus in The Players’ Tribune that opens a window into what prompted his retirement, or interview with The Athletic’s Zak Keefer.

Maybe one day Luck will answer completely the question of why he retired, but in the meantime all we have is educated speculation.

Here’s the timeline that is most telling:

  • March, 2019 – Luck marries Nicole Pechanec.
  • August, 2019 – Luck announces retirement.
  • November, 2019 – Luck and Nichole welcome daughter Lucy.  (Biological math tells us pregnancy occurred very close to the wedding date.)

Somewhere between March and August a series of conversations between Andrew and Nicole occurred.  Here is what I imagine those conversations sounded like:

Nicole:  I need to tell you something.

Andrew:  Sure, Nicole.  I’m here for you.  What’s on your mind?

Nicole:  Football scares me.

Andrew:  I’m listening to you.  I hear you.  What scares you about football?

Nicole:  Concussions, lacerated kidneys, broken shoulders, endless rehab, and the possibility that you won’t recognize me or our child when you turn 50.

Andrew:  That’s certainly reasonable.  I hear you, and I’m not judging, but the game is a great challenge for me.  My teammates and I are entering a phase where a championship is a possibility.

Nicole:  But you and I are now we.  This isn’t about what you enjoy today.  It’s about who we will be 10, 20, 50 years from now.  Football clouds our future.  It puts into play a series of negative possibilities that make sleep difficult.

Andrew:  I can see how you would feel that way.  To be honest, putting my emotional, intellectual, and physical health at risk in order to advance a leather ball toward a goal line seems ludicrous.

Nicole:  We are smart people with a lifetime of challenges ahead of us.  We can use our wealth to help thousands of people.  Our talents may benefit millions.  Is football so important to you – or us – that you feel comfortable taking a chance that all we can be goes away as you get hit by Danny Trevathan again – or another linebacker?

Andrew:  Boy.  That’s a lot to chew on.  You’re right.  My career earnings will total just over $109-million after this season.  I love the game and my teammates, but turning the page to embrace our next set of challenges seems more than sensible.  My heart is torn, but my brain is certain.  Football is what I do; it’s not who I am – or more importantly, who we are.

Nicole:  To be as sure as we can be, let’s take as much time as we can before making the final call.  Keep working.  Take a few months to see if you are comfortable putting football in your past.  I know rehab is exhausting, but you owe it to yourself to be absolutely certain.

Andrew:  Sounds like a plan, Nicole.

Nicole prompting deep thinking about Luck’s football future is not Yoko Ono breaking up The Beatles.  It’s a wife pregnant with a first child who sees the potential for disaster with every snap, and the possibility of CTE robbing her husband of his faculties.

Who can blame Nicole for serving as a voice of reason for Andrew – or Andrew for listening and making a responsible decision as a couple with an exceptionally bright and important future.

Colts fans are still pissed off at Luck’s retirement robbing them of a few seasons of great football, but it’s hard to see his decision as anything but reasonable.

The timing wasn’t ideal, but neither are kidney lacerations or concussions.

Top 10 reasons I jumped the gun to love these Indiana Pacers

Victor Oladipo wearing tee-shirts instead of playing has made them even more fun to watch.

If I fall in love with a Pacers team, it usually takes a long time – a year or more with the same core group.  I waived the waiting period this year.

Wins and losses rarely determine which teams I love, but these Pacers have been quite successful with.a 28-15 record despite Victor Oladipo not playing a minute thus far.  He’s likely to be back January 29th for the home game against the Bulls, but regardless of his availability, I love the way these guys play.

They are appointment TV for me – even late games like tonight’s contest at Utah.

Click here for your copy of “Oops – the Art of Learning from Mistakes and Adventures” by Kent Sterling

Here are the top 10 reasons I love watching the 2019-2020 Pacers:

10 – They never whined about Oladipo’s absence.  The Pacers balled their way through adversity.  No Vic.  No problem.

9 – Goga.  I love talking to the guy as much as I enjoy watching him.  He’s a modest 20-year-old who spent time on the streets of war-torn Georgia (the country – not the state south of Tennessee), and is sharpening his game so that when his number is called, he is good to go.  Goga is energetic, funny, runs the floor well, has great hands and a knack for the game.  Did I mention he is going to be an all-star?  It’s fun to know things before others.

8 – Malcolm Brogdon’s combination of intellect and competitiveness.  Really smart people tend to acknowledge the absurdity of throwing a leather ball through a hoop as a vocation that sets up a family with wealth beyond the dreams of avarice.  Brogdon is certainly smart enough to accept the silliness of the NBA, but competitive enough to care deeply about wins and losses.

7 – They don’t need Oladipo’s “return” to compete.  I have a problem with the entire notion of there being an Oladipo “return.”  Of course, he will be back, but calling it a “return” heightens the importance of the moment beyond what it really is.  The Pacers are 28-15 without Vic.  Nothing against him, but they would be OK with Oladipo wearing funny tee-shirts for the rest of the season.  With Vic they will be better, but it won’t cause a 180-degree pivot to high-quality basketball.  The Pacers are already there.

6 – Pacers compete every night for 48 minutes.  They aren’t great every minute, but over the course of 48 minutes, the Pacers show they are highly invested in the result.  In 43 games, the Pacers have taken a double-digit ass-whooping six times.  This group will not fold its tent.

5 – Second unit knows its role.  So many teams have a bench filled with starter wannabes.  The Pacers have guys who understand that 15 minutes of playing your ass off can make the difference.  Look at Doug McDermott last night – 21 minutes, 10 shots, 24 points and zero complaints. I’m sure Aaron Holiday would like to be a starting NBA point guard one day, but he plays like he knows this team has a chance to be special with him as a backup.

4 – No load management.  Maybe injuries have mitigated the need for Brogdon and Domas Sabonis to sit periodically, but there have been zero instances of load management as practiced by players and teams because 82 games is too many for their bodies to withstand.  If fans are going to pay retail for tickets, the entire cast of the show should be on stage.  That happens with the Pacers.

3 – Nate McMillan enjoys coaching this group.  There have been players and subsets of Pacers teams that McMillan clearly was not thrilled to lead.  As this roster came together over the past three years, he’s smiling more and more.  McMillan is clearly digging the challenge of getting the most out of a roster determined to bring their best in every workout and game.

2 – They talk the talk – convincingly.  I keep trying to find someone on the roster who will say something other than “I’m lucky to be a part of a team this unique.”  I follow up by asking if this is really different.  The response is always the same: the player to look at me like I’m nuts and says, “Yeah, this doesn’t happen in the NBA.”

1 – They share the ball.  Very few things annoy me more than selfish basketball, and the Pacers seem not to have a single guy who is more about him getting his than them getting theirs.  Last night’s game against the Nuggets is a great example.  McDermott scored 24, with 18 coming in the fourth quarter when he got hotter than hell.  Sabonis, T.J. Warren and Brogdon had 22 points each.  When is the last time you saw four guys on the same team score between 22-24 points in the same game?

I love this Pacers team enough that I would even forgive a loss tonight in Utah.  But I hope I don’t need to.

Devonte Green deserves a final two months at IU without fans making it miserable

Feel free to yell at your TV, but let’s not mistreat Devonte Green on Twitter anymore.

Indiana fans love to crap on Devonte Green.

There have been boos aimed toward Green at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall, and Twitter feeds fill with unpleasant characterizations of his play every time he misses early in the shot clock or turns the ball over.

Green’s minutes have diminished over the past two games – from 26 per game over the previous five games to 14.5 during the last two.  He scored a total of three points while turning it over four times during games at Rutgers and Nebraska.

Fans see Green as a player who plays as a lone wolf – a practitioner of hero ball.  Indiana fans do not like hero ball.  That’s especially true when it fails.  Indiana fans prefer basketball as a five man endeavor where each player focuses more on lifting the other four rather than showcasing himself.

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Green doesn’t see himself as a me-first guy.  I assume his motives are to try to do everything he can to help Indiana win.  Fans see it differently.

When Green is good, like when he scored 30 in a win against Florida State, he’s great.  When he’s bad, like the game at Rutgers when he played 15 minutes without a point, assist or rebound but tallied two turnovers and several missed defensive assignments, he’s terrible.

That’s Devonte Green.

Here’s what is also true about Green – he’s a senior who has worked his ass off for almost four years to become the best basketball player he can be.  His end of the line as a college basketball player is staring Green in the face.

Just three years ago, Green had big dreams as a freshman who showed a smooth shot and great promise.  Now, Green has less than 20 games left, and his reality is not in the same neighborhood as those 2017 dreams.

Green’s brother Danny is an 11-year NBA vet with earnings that will total $82,693,631 after the 2020-2021 season.  Hopes of following in Danny’s footsteps have wilted and turned to dust.  It appears Devonte’s professional future lies in Europe, where money comes in smaller stacks than those lavished upon Danny.

These are not easy times for a young man falling short of the standards set by coaches, fans, and himself.

Regardless of your feelings about Green the player, it’s cruel to vent all over him on social media every time he misses a three, makes an ill-advised pass or dribbles the ball off his leg.  He’s a young man who doesn’t need your help to feel bad about who he is and what he does on the floor.  Just because Green is the cause of your discontent doesn’t mean he deserves your wrath.

College is not for those who have already figured it out.  Figuring it out is what college is all about.  Let’s understand the difficulties facing a 22-year-old young man who is still a work in progress, is dealing with dreams fading and wants nothing more than to succeed.

Let’s lay off Green on social media as he tries to finish his career strong.

Here’s an interview I did with Green before his junior season:

https://soundcloud.com/sports1430/devonte-green

 

Calls for Archie Miller’s job are beyond silly – fans need to relax and let his plan play out

Chances are pretty damn good Archie Miller is just as unhappy with his teams uneven play as demanding fans.

Indiana Basketball struggled in last night’s loss at Rutgers in the same ways it has for the past two-plus years, and fans went wild on social media with calls for change.

Tweets from outraged fans responded to last night’s disappointing 59-50 loss at Rutgers with calls for outgoing AD Fred Glass to bow out as athletic director with a final act of accommodation for their ill-temper – “FIRE ARCHIE MILLER!”

Glass is as unlikely to fire Miller as he is to streak through the Union before slapping his bare ass on a booth at Nick’s to eat lunch and play Sink the Biz at a table of Delta Gammas.  He’ll stay the course with Miller because Glass is smart enough to not overreact to every bit of negativity that comes from petulant IU fans.

Click here for your copy of “Oops – the Art of Learning from Mistakes and Adventures” by Kent Sterling

Sane people can argue over whether Miller was the right hire in 2017 after Tom Crean was fired.  Maybe Glass should have brought in a coach from the Bob Knight coaching tree.  Maybe he should have cracked open the piggy bank to lure an unquestioned coaching great to IU.  Those conversations are reasonable.

What is not reasonable is any chat about IU Basketball that begins with “Archie Miller needs to be fired!”

I get it.  Fans are angry, and they want change.  They want accountability.  They don’t want to hear calls for patience as Miller rebuilds by recruiting to a culture rather than the measurables and raw talent Crean craved.

Fans see poor shooting, sloppy ball handling, and players lost on the defensive end, and they want improvement right away.  They hear Miller talk about how his team’s shooting stats are poor because of shot selection.  They hear Miller explain how difficult it is to win on the road. Their blood pressure explodes with every excuse.

Wisdom calls for patience, and so do pragmatic concerns.  Here’s what happens if Glass acts upon the counsel of crimson-faced fans:

  • Potential candidates would shun IU as a school serious about winning the right way.
  • Another coach with another system comes in to rebuild through recruiting.  That resets the clock from the middle of year three back to year one in a rebuild.
  • Indiana has to pay 100% of its remaining obligation to Miller, whose contact runs four additional years after this one.
  • Miller could still be the right guy for the job, and firing him would be regretted for generations if that’s the case.

There are another dozen downsides to turning Miller loose.  The upside?  Crazy fans feel good for 15 minutes before realizing a dire mistake has been made.

So let’s dial back the rancor and see Indiana Basketball for what it is – a program in the midst of a battle among two different factions; Crean recruits and Miller recruits.  Nothing against either of these groups.  They are just built differently as basketball players.

As a result, there is discombobulation – an obvious disharmony that corrupts IU’s ability to be a cohesive unit.  The seniors were Crean guys, and they can’t lead the Miller guys who understand success has to wait for them to cycle out.  Everyone tries, but in their own specific ways.  It’s miserable to watch, and likely worse to participate in.

Miller’s decision to try to retain the Crean guys was made to help IU win as many games as possible while the cultural change occurred over a four-year period has resulted in mediocrity.  That isn’t as bad as it could have been.

No one wanted to go through another season like 2008-2009, right?

The news isn’t all bad for IU.  Indiana high school kids actually want to play at IU for the first time in almost a decade, and that has led to Mr. Basketballs pledging IU in consecutive years for the first time since Pat Graham and Damon Bailey won the award in 1989 and 1990.  IU might land a third if Bloomington South’s Anthony Leal wins.

I’m not saying IU will definitively turn the corner in 2021-2022, but the odds of that happening with Miller as the head coach are much better than we Glass goes nuts and listens to the impatient rantings of angry Hoosier fans.

A new coach would bring a new era with the same old problem.  Take a deep breath and watch with hope for the present and the future.  That hope is better invested in Miller than any near-term alternative.

WNDE’s Query & Schultz cancelled as radio becomes a little less special in Indianapolis

If you need prove radio can do special things, it turned Query & Schultz into friends who hosted a sports talk show for eight-and-a-half years.

It’s a shame when two good people lose their jobs.  It’s also a shame when radio listeners lose daily contact with voices they have come to trust as friends.

Both happened today when iHeart Media decided Jake Query and Derek Schultz should no longer have a daily show on WNDE 1260AM.

The writing was on the wall in July when iHeart moved the sports talk product off of 97.5FM in favor of yet another Top 40 station designed to appeal to a younger demographic.

AM Radio is still a viable delivery system in many cities, but not in Indianapolis where companies other than Emmis Communications refuse to invest in products transmitted there.  At Emmis, their AM product is simulcast on two FM translators, so even with 1070 the Fan they have worked around AM’s limitations to broaden its local reach.

Click here for your copy of “Oops – the Art of Learning from Mistakes and Adventures” by Kent Sterling

1070 the Fan has long dominated the sports talk format in Indianapolis with a lineup of major league play-by-play and 10 hours of local talk programming every weekday, but it was nice to have an alternative from 3p-7p, and Query & Schultz provided one with sports discussion that showcased the widely divergent personalities of the two hosts.

I don’t think Jake would mind me describing him as flighty.  While you can spell Query without “ADD”, you sure can’t describe his on-air persona without those letters.  As for Derek, he likes to be organized and is relentlessly detail-oriented.

Somehow, someway, these two smart and capable, yet disparate hosts made this show work for nearly nine years, and that is a hell of an accomplishment.

Radio has long been a medium determined to cause itself harm by cutting expenses to achieve financial gain.  There is a point at which trimming expenses eliminates unique attributes, and many radio companies breached that membrane over a decade ago.

Human beings are necessary to connect listeners to a station, and Query & Schultz were the only two human beings left at WNDE.

Radio stations are like bodies.  You can lose tonsils, your appendix, and one of your kidneys.  The spleen and gallbladder can be removed too.  Companies with radio holdings have started removing livers, hearts and brains.  Today, iHeart ironically removed the heart from WNDE.

Jake and Derek will succeed as they evolve into what’s next for each of them.  Maybe they stay in media, or they might decide to abandon it as it’s become a source of more pain than pleasure.  I’m bullish on both finding challenges that engage their estimable talents.

As for iHeart Radio, I’m not as optimistic.  After word of layoffs reached investors, its stock price rose to close at 2.87, up four-cents from its low for the day.  Seems even cuts aren’t rallying investors now.  Without much talent left or management to lead them on a daily basis, radio stations will soon be without listeners who respond to advertising.  Without advertising, well..

My contempt for iHeart’s decision to pull the plug on Query & Schultz does not reflect a disdain for radio – talk radio especially.  When staffed by professionals committed to sharing perspectives and information with listeners in a creative way, radio is still capable of building a substantial audience and serving as a vibrant forum for a community like Indianapolis.  It’s also capable of turning a nice profit.

I would point to Dan Dakich on The Fan, Hammer & Nigel on WIBC, and the Smiley Show on WZPL as local Indianapolis shows that continue to engage us with consistent excellence.  WTTS remains a great example of a station rooted in music that connects our community.

But the time has come for companies to invest in unique talent, not cast them aside because the expense being trimmed is more important to investors than the revenue they are capable of creating.  Visionaries need to see radio hosts as the most dynamic and personal conduits available between an advertiser and customer – not as numbers on a spreadsheet.

Radio is not dying, but it has been injured by short-term decision making from unimaginative executives incapable of running a single station, let alone 850.

Sadly, Query & Schultz were just two of the casualties today as radio became a little less valuable and special.

MLB commissioner Rob Manfred a slap hitter when it comes to punishing Astros

This is what baseball is about, and the Houston Astros were willing to cheat to get this bling.

The Houston Astros won the 2017 World Series by stealing opposing catchers’ signs to pitchers with electronic surveillance.

MLB commissioner Rob Manfred wants to stop cheating, so he took a swing at getting tough.  Weak ground ball the other way.

The first rule of correcting behavior is to make the cost of the punishment outweigh the value of the reward.  In this regard, we don’t change a hell of a lot from the time we are children until we die.  Given a moderate level of sanity, when the consequences are serious, we make better choices.  If the consequences are manageable, we plow ahead with questionable behavior.  With great rewards and trivial consequences, we sprint to the rewards.

Click here for your copy of “Oops – the Art of Learning from Mistakes and Adventures” by Kent Sterling

Here are the rewards of stealing signs with electronics:

  • Playing in two World Series (2017 & 2019).
  • Winning a World Championship (2017).
  • Compiling 100+ wins in each of the last three seasons (2017-2019).
  • Attendance way up.
  • Swag flying off shelves.
  • Media ratings soar.

Here are the consequences:

  • $5-million fine.
  • Loss of 1st & 2nd round draft picks in 2020 & 2021.
  • Manager A.J. Hinch & GM Jeff Luhnow suspended.

Following the announcement of Manfred’s mandate, Astros owner Jim Crane fired both Hinch and Luhnow.

Alex Cora, the Astros bench coach in 2017 and current Red Sox manager, is said to have been the architect of the cheating.  It’s expected Manfred will punish him severely.  It bears mention the Red Sox won the 2018 World Series, Cora’s first as skipper.  If Cora is found to have cheated his way into a championship two consecutive years, Manfred will have an opportunity to go all Kenesaw Mountain Landis on him.

Here are the pragmatic effects of the consequences –

  • $5M is tip money compared to the cash generated by the Astros success.
  • Draft picks hurt a little bit, but this isn’t the NFL or NBA where picks are of huge importance.  The Astros would have selected 30th this June.  Of the last 15 players selected 30th, only five made it to the majors and none made a major impact.
  • Luhnow and Hinch will be replaced by one of the dozens of qualified applicants lining up around the block to be interviewed for two of the best jobs in baseball.  For Luhnow and Hinch, they will be snapped up very quickly by teams when their suspensions end – and likely at the higher salary than they have forfeited.

There is paper cut level pain associated with these sanctions.  The championship, current roster and franchise popularity remain in place.  The tangible cost?  $5-million.

No billionaire on the planet would refuse that deal.

When baseball seriously attacked the problem of gambling among players a century ago, commissioner Landis went scorched earth.  The 1919 Chicago Black Sox allegedly threw the World Series in exchange for cash promised by gamblers.  Baseball exiled the eight offenders forever, and they remain on the ineligible list almost 45 years after the death of Swede Risburg – the last surviving member of the notorious eight Black Sox.

Pete Rose was arrogant/stupid enough to venture into gambling despite the fallout from the previous scandal.  He received the same sentence – lifetime ban.  Since then – not a sniff of a problem.

Get it?  Big hammer = big compliance.

If Manfred wanted to strongly discourage a return to electronic skullduggery, he would have been more serious with the administration of career capital punishment.  Maybe he’ll take that option with Cora.

If not, he has given the 29 other franchises the intelligence necessary for a cost benefits  analysis as they decide what line they are willing to cross in exchange for wins, profits and a championship.

Attendance decline at college football games is easily explained, yet many miss point #iufb

Not many empty areas outside Indiana University’s Memorial Stadium on a gameday, but plenty of seats available inside.

LSU plays Clemson in college football’s National Championship tonight, and the Superdome will be packed.  That’s not the case for many games – even in the SEC where college football dominates campus conversations.

Attendance has fallen over the last decade and people are trying to figure out why.  Is it a new focus for students on academics?  Is it millennials playing Fortnite or living on social media?  Is it an increase in the percentage of out of state students with no generational fandom for the schools’ teams?  All have a marginal effect.

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The biggest reason people are staying away in droves is simple economics.  It costs a lot of money to go where people have less fun.  That’s the calculus leaving thousands of seats empty every Saturday.

Here’s a cost and amenities breakdown for students and alums excited enough about (insert university name here) Football to be in the vicinity of its stadium on a gameday:

Attend the game inside stadium (prices specific to Indiana University because it’s the experience with which I am most familiar):

  • Tickets – $50 for adults/$15 for students
  • Beer – $7 for a 16-ounce domestic for those with a valid ID
  • Food – hotdogs, pretzels, Chick-fil-A, Dippin’ Dots, kettle corn and other snacks at typical inflated price points
  • Locked into a specific seat surrounded by specific people on metal bleachers
  • Occasional relevant replays
  • Unending timeouts with commercials on the video board
  • Way too long halftime with brief marching band performance of Beatles hits from 50 years ago

Stay at a tailgate party in the parking lot:

  • Tickets – Free
  • Beer – Roughly a buck each, if you can’t find a tailgate with endless free beers – and no ID necessary in most cases
  • Eat what you bring or what grillmasters cook – usually for free
  • Wander and talk to a variety of people while walking around or sitting on comparatively comfortable folding chairs
  • 65-inch TVs with the IU game from a variety of angles – and a variety of other games that can be toggled to during timeouts and halftime
  • Cornhole, beer pong and other diversions to enjoy when the game gets a little dull

Go to a Bloomington bar an watch:

  • Usually no cover
  • Full menu
  • $3 beers
  • Big table with friends
  • TVs tuned to every game

Which are you signing up for?  Unless you have a son on one of the teams or have a historic or generational tie to the program, why would you pay more money to have a worse time?  I chose in this order – tailgate, bar, with live game a distant third.

Coaches and click bait journalists can talk about generational disconnect and love of technology as reasons students stay away.  But the decision for those already predisposed to the product  (TV ratings show rabid interest in college football) comes down to simple math:  F/$, where F equals fun and $ equals expense.   When the numerator overwhelms the denominator, empty seats will continue to expand.

An Issue specific to campuses like IU without a surrounding large city (like Columbus, Louisville, Austin or Los Angeles) is lodging.  If you don’t live an easy drive from Bloomington and need a hotel, get ready to part with nearly a grand for the privilege of being able to sleep in town.  Hotel reservations on a football weekend require a three-night stay with a nightly rate of $250-ish.

This isn’t complex.  What would motivate a fan to dig into his or her pocket for an experience that is not clearly superior for what is free elsewhere.

The mystery is not what motivates fans to stay away, but why thousands choose to attend.